American Elephants

Newest Victim of Global Warming —Breakfast? by The Elephant's Child


The world as we know it will come to an end by 2080. Global warming may end the wheat crop, endangering not only pasta, but our breakfast toast, pancakes and waffles, not to mention coffee cake and croissants. Now comes word that coffee beans, that is wild Arabica beans  are in danger of extinction. The invaluable Anthony Watts, proprietor of, responds:

The basis of the claim for “end of pasta” by Hertsgaard is this statement:

Frank Manthey, a professor at North Dakota State University who advises the North Dakota Wheat Commission. Already, a mere 1 degree Fahrenheit of global temperature rise over the past 50 years has caused a 5.5 percent decline in wheat production.

Well, I plotted the data, both for USA temperature (using the alarmist’s favorite temperature data, Jim Hansen’s GISS data) and USA wheat production from USDA, and I call bullshit on the claim:

David Middleton demolishes the silly claim about coffee beans. My coffee is of greater importance than my croissants or brioche, or even toast, so that’s a relief.

Researchers at the Royal Botanic Gardens in Kew and the Environment and Coffee Forest Forum in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia looked at how climate change might make some land unsuitable for Arabica plants, which are highly vulnerable to temperature change and other dangers including pests and disease.

They came up with a best-case scenario that predicts a 38 per cent reduction in land capable of yielding Arabica by 2080. The worst-case scenario puts the loss at between 90 per cent and 100 per cent.

If global climate warming change disruption is likely to wipe out such a prevalent coffee bean in a few decades, the previous few hundred years of warming should have “left a mark” on global coffee production… Right?

I downloaded the latest HadCRUT4 temperature and Mauna Loa CO2 data from Wood for Trees and global coffee bean production from FAOSTAT and it appears that coffee bean trees like warmer temperatures…

They also show how the alarmists reached the nonsense they published. Is there a particular psychological type that is unhappy unless living in fear? Or they just remarkably gullible? Next to go, Bacon and eggs?

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