Filed under: Domestic Policy, Energy, Environment, Global Warming, Politics, Science/Technology | Tags: Cycles of Solar Activity, Predicting the Future, Russia's Pulkovo Observatory
Russian scientists say that a period of global cooling is ahead due to changes in the activity of the sun. Scientists at Russia’s famous Pulkovo Observatory are convinced that the world is in for a period of global cooling that could last for 200-250 years.
Solar activity is waning, so the average yearly temperature will begin to decline as well. Scientists from Britain and the US chime in to say that such forecasts for global cooling are far from groundless.
Yuri Nagovitsyn of the Pulkovo Observatory said:
“Journalists say the entire process is very simple: once solar activity declines, the temperature drops. But besides solar activity, the climate is influenced by other factors, including the lithosphere, the atmosphere, the ocean, the glaciers. The share of solar activity in climate change is only 20%. This means that sun’s activity could trigger certain changes whereas the actual climate changing process takes place on the Earth.”
Solar activity follows different cycles, including an 11-year cycle, a 90-year cycle, and a 200-year cycle. Professor Igor Davidenko comments:
“The Northern Sea Route has never opened so early or closed so late over the past 30 years. Last year saw a cargo transit record – more than five million tons. The first Chinese icebreaker sailed along the Northern Sea Route in 2012. China plans it to handle up to 15% of its exports.”
Prediction of the future is mostly little more than guesswork, but there are trends and there is a past history of cycles. Russia is upgrading its icebreaker fleet, and new generation icebreakers are set to arrive in the years to come. Russia also has great interest in energy in the Arctic. as well as the Northern Sea Route., so they are preparing for eventualities.
While other nations are considering how to prepare for a possible long period of cooling, ours is desperately trying to save the planet from global warming and free us from our addiction to foreign oil, at the same time that they restrict every possible domestic source of petroleum from drilling. Go figure.
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American Elephants 
The Goreacle was pushing global warming again this past weekend (getting pretty hysterical about it, too).
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Comment by Lon Mead May 2, 2013 @ 8:40 pmFor the Left, it is a religion. A Canadian Environment minister, Christine Stewart, said “No matter if the science is all phony, there are collateral environmental benefits …climate change [provides] the greatest chance to bring about justice and equality in the world.” I saved that quote, even though it was a few years back. It has really been a financial bonanza for AlGore.
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Comment by The Elephant's Child May 2, 2013 @ 8:48 pmYeah, I’ve always liked that quote, too. Justice and equality… two words that sound noble enough, but always wind up being kind vague in application (so you can never tell when they have been achieved), and here this woman wants to indulge these vague concepts on the basis of a science that she doesn’t care about.
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Comment by Lon Mead May 2, 2013 @ 8:57 pm