American Elephants


There You Go — Because Obama! by The Elephant's Child

Digging the Hole Deeper. by The Elephant's Child

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The President’s Speech from the White House hall attempted to hit all the necessary buttons. He went for a big emotional appeal on the horrors of chemical warfare, especially on children. He attempted to portray himself as a peace president. He ended the Iraq War, the troops are coming home from Afghanistan, endless wars that have been going on for a decade. He’s not Bush. He has invoked that for five years, but hasn’t got tired of it yet. He’s not going to do War. He’s not going to do Libya nor Kosovo. He has authority to do a retaliatory strike. Then he punched the patriotism button “The American Military doesn’t do pinpoint strikes”

The problem is, of course, that he was speaking with (as somebody said) Kerry’s foot in his mouth. The “unbelievably small” one. Yesterday, in passing, he invoked his Nobel Peace Prize, which was embarrassing, but he seems unaware that the Swedes momentary enthusiasm for the first black president was incredibly misplaced. He did not repeat that error in this speech. Yet he made no case for a limited retaliatory strike. You expected him to wave some papers and declare “Peace in our time.”

Ideally, when a dictator uses chemical weapons on his own people, a pinpoint strike with a very large bomb on the courtyard of the palace the very next day would effectively make the point. It’s the dithering around, the indecision, the failure to know where the palace courtyard is that make it clear that we haven’t been taking foreign policy seriously.

Charles Crawford, who was HM Ambassador in Sarajevo (1996-1998), Belgrade (2001-2003), and Poland (2003-2007) wrote in the Telegraph that “Monday 9 September, 2013 was the worst day for US and wider Western diplomacy since records began.

“At the Foreign Office here in London. We had the bizarre spectacle of US Secretary of State John Kerry giving a businesslike account of diplomatic incentives.”

If one party believes that it can rub out countless numbers of his own citizens with impunity using chemicals that have been banned for nearly 100 years because of what Europe learned in World War I, if he can do that with impunity, he will never come to a negotiating table … If you don’t draw those lines, and the civilized world is not prepared to enforce those lines, you are giving complete license to people to do whatever they want.

“However, almost in the same breath John Kerry blew up the logic of his own position by assuring a bemused world that any bombing by the United States would be “unbelievably small.”

You know the rest. Kerry bumbled on about if Assad gave up his weapons in the next week, and Putin tossed out a line about demanding Assad to put his weapons under international control, and Obama seeing the fly and not recognizing the hook— bit.  In the middle of a civil war? This is not going to happen. It is impossible. Chemical weapons are impossibly dangerous to handle. A new process of setting up a monitoring and destruction regime would give Assad a boost of legitimacy…

Obama has been uninterested in foreign policy, which interferes with fundamentally transforming America, and forgets that the main job of the President of the United States is paying attention to foreign policy. He is sure that the problems in the Middle East are all the result of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. He thinks the only bad guys are al Qaeda, and does not recognize the central role in terror of the Muslim Brotherhood. He got rid of all the dictators in North Africa, without recognizing that they at least kept a lid on things, and has left chaos in his wake.

This is not going to end well.

P.S. America is a Constitutional Republic, not a Constitutional Democracy.



The Ice Sheet In the Arctic Grew By 920,000 Miles In a Year! by The Elephant's Child

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Headline, BBC, Wednesday, 12 December, 2007: Arctic summers ice-free “by 2013′. The true believers were ready for an expedition rowing to the North Pole to call attention to the perils of global warming. Talk about tempting fate!

They gave up around the end of August., and returned to Greenland.

Severe weather conditions hindered our early progress and now ice chokes the passage ahead. …

Residents of Resolute say 20 years have not seen anything like. Its ice, ice and more ice. Larsen, Peel, Bellot, Regent and Barrow Strait are all choked. …

This has been the coldest season with the most ice since we started Arctic Watch in 2000. Almost no whales. The NW Passage is still blocked with ice. Some of the bays still have not melted.

Did this failure cause any second thoughts?  Of course not. “Our message remains unaffected though, bringing awareness to the pressing issues of climate change in the arctic.”
Arctic Ice
(click to enlarge)
We cannot predict the future. Even the elegant climate models of the IPCC cannot predict the future. Nobody can. We can guess, based on the present, but predictions are a matter of luck. You could, however, expect colder weather since there has been no warming of the climate for the last 16 years — no warming in the 21st century whatsoever.  From The Telegraph

There has been a 60 per cent increase in the amount of ocean covered with ice compared to this time last year, they equivalent of almost a million square miles.

In a rebound from 2012’s record low an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores, days before the annual re-freeze is even set to begin.

The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year, forcing some ships to change their routes.

A leaked report to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) seen by the Mail on Sunday, has led some scientists to claim that the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century.

We don’t know how long the cooling will continue, nor whether it is the start of a new ice age, and some climate scientists suggest. Climate models are an attempt to reproduce in an elaborate computer program the climate of the Earth. There are some things that we know, without question, and an enormous amount we don’t know, but only speculate about.

The modelers started with what we know for sure, then what we think we know, and then some intelligent guesses, followed by pure fantasy based on nothing except the emotions of the modeller.  That’s where we got the panic about the globe overheating, and the oceans rising, and a world to save.  And look at what has flowed from that mistake.

Australia has just thrown out the Labour Party, partly because they instituted a nonsensical tax on carbon. Most of the countries of Europe have gone hog-wild with eliminating coal-fired power plants and the thrifty electricity they produced, in favor of solar panels and wind turbines and alternative energy. It was costly, very costly. The green jobs promised did not appear, and the wind — even in the windiest spots — remains intermittent, the turbines break down, and the electricity is expensive. Even in Spain, where Northern Europeans flock for the sun, solar energy has cost their economy dearly.

More important, the CO² in the atmosphere has continued to increase as the climate ceased its warming trend, and the oceans have not risen, the arctic is not melting, and the planet is greening. Carbon dioxide is a natural fertilizer, and the greening of the planet means more food for the needy, and more trees for the tree lovers.

Michael Barone’s latest column asks the question we’ve been asking for years: “If the globe isn’t warming, does that undercut EPA regulation of carbon dioxide?” Of course it does. The supposed consensus (there is no consensus in science) that global warming is a threat was the basis of the Supreme Court’s 2007 ruling in Massachusetts v. EPA requiring EPA to regulate carbon dioxide emissions. The Court ruled that carbon dioxide which is non-poisonous and a necessary element in life, is a pollutant subject to regulation under the Clean Air Act of 1970.

We await the Court’s reversal, but we may have to wait a long time. The warmists are true believers, and will not give up easily. The new Secretary of the Interior, Sally Jewell, actually stood up in a meeting of her department and announced that she “hoped there were no Deniers in her Department.” Not an order, but certainly intimidation of anyone with a differing opinion. In America. This has been a growing trend on the Left for some time, erupting in full force in the Obama administration. They are right, you see, and they do not tolerate dissent.

Will their fervor evaporate or even lessen in the face of a cooling climate, a frozen Arctic? Seas that fail to rise? Nah. Obama said he would stop the rise of the oceans, so there you go.




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