American Elephants


There’s More Than One Kind of Bubble! Here We Go Again! by The Elephant's Child

20150122_bubbles



Recovery? What Recovery? by The Elephant's Child

From the Wall Street Journal’s “Notable & Quotable” Column:

Geoffrey Norman, writing online for the Weekly Standard, Jan 21.

What should be a recovery on steroids—after all, it has had six years to get in shape—is still not up to speed. If there were as many people in the labor force now, as there were when President Obama came into office, the unemployment rate would be close to 10%. And the spirit of entrepreneurship has dimmed to the point that, as Gallup finds:

“The U.S. now ranks not first, not second, not third, but 12th among developed nations in terms of business startup activity. Countries such as Hungary, Denmark, Finland, New Zealand, Sweden, Israel and Italy all have higher startup rates than America does. We are behind in starting new firms per capita, and this is our single most serious economic problem.”

And the worst of it is that:

“. . . for the first time in 35 years, American business deaths now outnumber business births.”

Plainly we need more regulation and higher taxes on small business.



No More Keynesian Economics, Obama is Turning the Page! by The Elephant's Child

Obama’s State of the Union speech claimed 2014 as a “breakthrough year for America,”with a growing economy and job creation at the fastest pace since 1999. Clever word tricks. If you count only jobs created, which he does, and leave out the jobs destroyed, the people who are so discouraged that they have dropped out of the workforce and  the growth in the population — you can get some pretty good job creation numbers, but they are meaningless except to fool the folks who don’t pay attention.

At this moment — with a growing economy, shrinking deficits, bustling industry, and booming energy production — we have risen from recession freer to write our own future than any other nation on Earth. It’s now up to us to choose who we want to be over the next fifteen years, and for decades to come.

It’s clear that all the happy talk did not resonate with the American people, who are seeing something different from the news of the day.

Mr Obama then began to make his pitch for “Middle Class Economics.” Unfortunately he tried to make it with Rebekah and Ben Erler of Minneapolis. Rebekah turned out to be a campaign staffer who he has used for “evidence” before.

At every step, we were told our goals were misguided or too ambitious; that we would crush jobs and explode deficits. Instead, we’ve seen the fastest economic growth in over a decade, our deficits cut by two-thirds, a stock market that has doubled, and health care inflation at its lowest rate in fifty years.

Middle class economics, he said, is the idea that this country does best when everyone gets their fair shot, everyone does their fair share, and everyone lays by the same set of rules. He really likes that phrase, it’s been in every speech for years. And it is meaningless. What is a “fair shot?” What is doing your “fair share?”

Apparently you don’t have to do anything, for the government will give you money. Paid sick leave, higher minimum wage, quality childcare, free community college, and if you have managed to save up for your kids’ college in a 529 plan (with money that has already been taxed) he plans to tax the distributions when you take it out to pay for the tuition.

It’s all a game of gotcha. Taxing 529 plan distributions is not going to pass Congress. The average account size of assets in 529 plans is $20,671. Saving that much up in a troubled economy is a real accomplishment. Why would you tax the same money once again?

So there you have “Middle Class Economics.” The right hand giveth and the left hand taketh away. It isn’t really supposed to accomplish anything, it’s just supposed to sound good.




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