American Elephants

How Long Do We Have To Wait For Global Warming to be Proved? Is Thirty Years Enough? by The Elephant's Child

Fool Me Once Shame on You,
Fool Me Twice, Shame on Me.

It was just 30 years ago this week that James Hansen, the former NASA scientist who testified before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee during a prolonged heat wave, which” he described as a climate event of cosmic significance.” Just to be sure he arranged for the meeting room to be warmer than usual. He expressed to the senators “his high degree of confidence” in “cause-and-effect relationship between the greenhouse effect and observed warming.”

There was an accompanying paper in the Journal of Geophysical Research, and it ignited a world wide panic that continues today about the energy structure of the entire planet. So 30 years on we can pause and take a look at just how well his predictions have turned out, and check on how we are doing.

Mr. Hansen’s testimony described three possible scenarios for the future of carbon dioxide emissions. He called Scenario A “business as usual,” as it maintained the accelerating emissions growth typical of the 1970s and ’80s. This scenario predicted the earth would warm 1 degree Celsius by 2018. Scenario B set emissions lower, rising at the same rate today as in 1988. Mr. Hansen called this outcome the “most plausible,” and predicted it would lead to about 0.7 degree of warming by this year. He added a final projection, Scenario C, which he deemed highly unlikely: constant emissions beginning in 2000. In that forecast, temperatures would rise a few tenths of a degree before flatlining after 2000.

He was not just wrong, but completely wrong. Global surface temperature has not increased significantly since 2000. The computer Models devised by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have, on average, predicted twice as much warming as has actually occurred since temperature monitoring began 40 years ago. I have not seen a summary of the expenditures devised to save the planet, but it’s big. Very big. The small amounts of increased CO2 have not meant increased warming, but increased plant growth, feeding the world and decreasing famine and hunger. CO2 is a natural fertilizer for plants.

He claimed in a 2007 case on auto emissions that most of Greenland’s ice would soon melt, raising sea levels 23 feet over the course of 100 years. The Australian Climatism blog has a wonderful pictorial post on the predictions of catastrophic sea level rise, and scroll on down for the reality which is quite something else.

And by the way, the polar bears are just fine as well, multiplying nicely’

It’s more than a little scary to see the extent to which governments can be manipulated by irresponsible fake news from irresponsible journalists, and the people manipulated as well. We’re getting another dose of that today, different subject, but just as irresponsible.

R.I.P. Charles Krauthammer. You Will Be Missed! by The Elephant's Child

A Life well and powerfully lived. Paralyzed from the neck down after a swimming pool accident, Charles Krauthammer became a psychiatrist, and a good one. And he became a columnist and author, and was an outstanding one. Of his own predicament, he said:

“Better to be paralyzed from the neck down
than the neck up.”

—”The Indispensable Man” by Steven Hayward

Charles Krauthammer” by the WSJ Editorial Board

America Lost Its Greatest Political Commentator”by Roger S. Simon

And here are a few of his columns”

Did the State Make You Great”by Charles Krauthammer

“The Bush Legacy” by Charles Krauthammer

“Moving from Left to Right” by Charles Krauthammer

“Trump’s ‘Madman Theory’ Diplomacy” by Charles Krauthammer

Trump Listens to Obama-Clinton on Immigration by The Elephant's Child

Don’t miss this one. It’s just over 2 minutes, and important.

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