American Elephants


How Long Do We Have To Wait For Global Warming to be Proved? Is Thirty Years Enough? by The Elephant's Child

Fool Me Once Shame on You,
Fool Me Twice, Shame on Me.

It was just 30 years ago this week that James Hansen, the former NASA scientist who testified before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee during a prolonged heat wave, which” he described as a climate event of cosmic significance.” Just to be sure he arranged for the meeting room to be warmer than usual. He expressed to the senators “his high degree of confidence” in “cause-and-effect relationship between the greenhouse effect and observed warming.”

There was an accompanying paper in the Journal of Geophysical Research, and it ignited a world wide panic that continues today about the energy structure of the entire planet. So 30 years on we can pause and take a look at just how well his predictions have turned out, and check on how we are doing.

Mr. Hansen’s testimony described three possible scenarios for the future of carbon dioxide emissions. He called Scenario A “business as usual,” as it maintained the accelerating emissions growth typical of the 1970s and ’80s. This scenario predicted the earth would warm 1 degree Celsius by 2018. Scenario B set emissions lower, rising at the same rate today as in 1988. Mr. Hansen called this outcome the “most plausible,” and predicted it would lead to about 0.7 degree of warming by this year. He added a final projection, Scenario C, which he deemed highly unlikely: constant emissions beginning in 2000. In that forecast, temperatures would rise a few tenths of a degree before flatlining after 2000.

He was not just wrong, but completely wrong. Global surface temperature has not increased significantly since 2000. The computer Models devised by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have, on average, predicted twice as much warming as has actually occurred since temperature monitoring began 40 years ago. I have not seen a summary of the expenditures devised to save the planet, but it’s big. Very big. The small amounts of increased CO2 have not meant increased warming, but increased plant growth, feeding the world and decreasing famine and hunger. CO2 is a natural fertilizer for plants.

He claimed in a 2007 case on auto emissions that most of Greenland’s ice would soon melt, raising sea levels 23 feet over the course of 100 years. The Australian Climatism blog has a wonderful pictorial post on the predictions of catastrophic sea level rise, and scroll on down for the reality which is quite something else.

And by the way, the polar bears are just fine as well, multiplying nicely’

It’s more than a little scary to see the extent to which governments can be manipulated by irresponsible fake news from irresponsible journalists, and the people manipulated as well. We’re getting another dose of that today, different subject, but just as irresponsible.

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2 Comments so far
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Reblogged this on Tallbloke's Talkshop and commented:
Since climate scares were first sponsored by governments neither the theory of man-made causality nor the evidence for it have improved. Models have failed to predict what actually happened. Time’s almost up for alarmists.

Liked by 2 people

Comment by oldbrew

I found it interesting that Dr Hansen made his case at a time of of a very active sun. It’s only recently that the Solar Wind’s effect on the terrestrial atmosphere and its weather has been realised.
Mis-identifying cause leads to mistaking effects and that is what we see in hindsight.

Liked by 1 person

Comment by ewing.caldwell




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