American Elephants


Time to Get To the Bottom of this Climate Change Business, If It’s Not Too Late! by The Elephant's Child

The White House is organizing a panel to assess if Climate Change poses a national security threat. Federal intelligence agencies have apparently affirmed this idea several times since President Trump took office. The proposed Presidential Committee on Climate Security will be established by executive order and will be spearheaded by William Happer, a National Security Council senior director. Happer who is an emeritus professor of physics at Princeton University, is a world renowned climate scientist. He has said that carbon emissions linked to climate change should be regarded as an asset rather than a pollutant.  (from Climate Depot:)

Unsurprisingly, he has written numerous articles that are “mainly” about the infrared absorption bands and Google Scholar finds over 1,000 articles that contain his name as well as “infrared”. So when it comes to the main physical effect that is supposed to drive “climate change”, he’s not only an expert. He’s one of the world’s leading experts. CNN and doomsaying crackpots in general surely find this fact inconvenient but this inconvenience doesn’t make it less true.”

The following comes from The Washington Post, so you will notice  a slight change in tone:

The initiative represents the Trump administration’s most recent attempt to question the findings of federal scientists and experts on climate change and comes less than three weeks after Director of National Intelligence Daniel Coats delivered a worldwide threat assessment that identified it as a significant security risk.

In late November, Trump dismissed a government report finding that global warming is intensifying and poses a major threat the U.S. economy, saying, “I don’t see it.” Last month, his nominee to head the Environmental Protection Agency, acting administrator Andrew Wheeler, testified that he did not see climate change as one of the world’s pressing challenges.

Lefties believe firmly in science, if it comes from those who are equally alarmed by the potential of Climate Change to destroy the world in the near future. Al Gore and Bill Nye tell us it’s a real problem, as does Leonardo De Caprio, and AO-C, so pay no attention to those “deniers”. Trump refused to sign the Paris Climate Accords that were going to save the world, so see! See!

Perhaps we should reassess the Federal Intelligence agencies while we’re at it.

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Please Make an Effort To Know What You Are Talking About! by The Elephant's Child

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Freshman Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) yesterday announced that “every Democratic presidential candidate” was supporting her Green New Deal resolution.

“The Green New Deal that we introduced two weeks ago, which was an amazing step forward, when we first were engineering it before it was introduced they were saying, ‘She’s divisive. She’s too confrontational. No one will sign onto a single piece of legislation that she introduced,'” said Ocasio-Cortez.

“We were able to to introduce a resolution in both chambers co-sponsored by every presidential candidate, every Democratic presidential candidate and 65 House members,” Ocasio-Cortez continued.

Oh dear, it’s not, Rep. Ocasio-Cortez that you are divisive or confrontational, it’s that you don’t know what you are talking about. The Earth has been warming and cooling for millions of years. The people who suggest that “global warming” is not a crisis, are not “deniers”– they acknowledge that the earth has warmed in the last 40 years – 25 one hundredths of one degree! That’s+0.25 deg.C. according to the UAH Satellite-Based Temperature of the Global Lower Atmosphere.

You want to rely on wind and solar energy — natural and free, provided generously by Mother Nature? The problem is that wind and solar energy do not provide enough energy to power a modern society. The problem is not in the quantity of turbines or solar panels, it is in the wind itself. Wind is intermittent. It blows, occasionally, in puffs and wafts, sometimes in gales, and very often not at all. On the rare occasions when it blows steadily at about 35 mph, the turbines produce energy. When it does not, it requires 24/7 backup from a conventional power source. The conventional power sources don’t do too well with switching on and off all the time, either.

Solar energy is a different matter. Sunshine is diffuse. There are clouds that drift across the sky, at different levels, and sometimes there are clouds for days. it rains. The sun sinks below the horizon at night, just when everyone is settling down for the evening. Ivanpah in California’s Mojave Desert was the biggest and fanciest solar array with thousands of solar panels the size of garage doors shining on a central tower designed to heat and generate massive amounts of power. Didn’t work. The project generated only about 40 percent of the advertised power, and managed to incinerate all kinds of birds, many of them protected species like eagles. Cost a bundle. Useless.

To have enough wind turbines to power the country, you’d need an acreage about the size of California. Not going to happen.

The bit about high speed rail doesn’t work either. It works in Europe because Europe is much denser with many towns and cities close together. You may have noticed that new California Governor Newsom has just dumped Jerry Brown’s pet high-speed rail train to nowhere. Too expensive, Vast cost overruns. Always was a pipe dream, but Brown would not give up on it. You may have noticed that Hawaii’s Mazie Hirono suggested that your idea of ending airline flights to Hawaii didn’t go over well.

The fact that you have all the Democratic potential candidates signed on to your Green New Deal, is frightening. It says that we have large numbers of people running for the highest office in the land who do not do their homework, and do not know what they are talking about. It really isn’t that hard to study up, but the idea that one of them might possibly be elected and know only that they have to believe in global warming because it’s what Democrats do, is pretty scary. But then you got elected, never having done any research either.



Seattle Just Had Two to Three Inches of Snow! by The Elephant's Child

Here in the Seattle area, we are recovering from a winter snowfall. It made the national news in USA today. Had a snarky message from an old friend in St. Louis, who had just talked to another friend from home in Idaho who said they had about four feet of snow on the level. Seattle made the national news on the basis of 2 to 3 inches! Fact! Seattle is a city famously built on seven hills. They plowed down some, and nobody counts anyway, but the problem is that there are slopes in every direction, and even small amounts immediately turn to ice. Lots of car crashes in every direction.

However, just across the mountains to the east the same winter storm produced a blizzard west of the Tri-Cities, and 1,600 dairy cows died in the blizzard. Hit the dairy farmers hard. They were not expecting such conditions. They prepared for the snow, but it just wasn’t enough. Cows normally do fine out-of-doors. Snoqualmie Pass was closed all day by avalanche and snow danger.



“A Known Fact That Climate Change Is Happening” by The Elephant's Child

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Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) announced that she is entering the 2020 presidential race, during a snowstorm, and said that it is a known fact that “climate change is happening”.

Klobuchar said Trump’s tweet that mocked her for talking about climate change while standing in a snowstorm is “so wrong.”

“I’m sorry if it still snows in the world, but the point is that we know climate change is happening,” Klobuchar argued. “Just this last year it was one of the fourth hottest years in the history of the world. That’s what’s happening right now. We see this Greenland ice sheet melting. Look at those wildfires in Colorado and California, where you [have had] a dad trying to get through a fire trying to calm his kid down in a car. That’s what’s happening right now in this country. So that’s why I think we cannot ignore it.”

Well, no, no, no, and your entire statement is completely wrong, Senator. The last year, 2018, was the 6th warmest year in the now–40 year satellite record of lower troposphere temperature variations. 25/100ths of one degree Centigrade warmer.

Senator Schumer believes. He announced that the hurricanes were caused by Global Warming. Jerry Brown said that California’s wildfires, drought, and floods were all caused by Global Warming and he wanted to put up his very own satellite to measure the CO² in the atmosphere so he could be prepared.
The new California governor seems to be ready to pursue the same theme. Our Gov. Jay Inslee tried to prevent fossil fuels from shipping from our ports because of Global Warming. I vaguely remember that some Lefty environmental organization was offering help to Democrat governors, linking them to other governors who faced  similar problems, helping to solve them, getting them lots of publicity, that sort of thing, but I cannot remember the details enough to search for an answer.

They have clearly been warned about “the deniers,” obviously conservatives who do not believe in Global Warming, which is the only correct position. They seem to group-believe.  Do remember that in early February of 2015, at a news conference in Brussels, Christiana Figueres, the General Secretary of the IPPC, admitted that the goal of environmental activists is not to save the world from ecological calamity — but to destroy capitalism.

“This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution,” she said.

They don’t care about the environment, it’s a tool in their drive for control. Then, when everyone is truly equal (except for the wise folks who will lead the way) there will be no more rich and poor — you know the rest, you’ve heard it all before. Those others just didn’t do it right. It’s just hard to understand why they believe.



Here’s a Useful Visual Illustration by The Elephant's Child

sources_of_electricity_in_the_usa_2006

This graph represents our energy resources in 2006. There’s been a lot of fracking since then, and a lot more discoveries, so it would probably be different today, but not all that much. It is, however, a good visual to illustrate the utter absurdity of Ms. Ocasio-Cortez’s assumptions about eliminating fossil fuels and replacing them with “renewables.” Eliminate the Nuclear energy, the Natural Gas., the Petroleum,  and Coal. Ignore the Hydro because that will not grow — and O-C assumes that tiny pink 2.4% can not only power our industrial society, but also all the high-speed rail she has in mind to replace all the automobiles and airplanes she plans to eliminate.

Lots of worried talk about the “greenhouse gasses” in the atmosphere, but the primary “greenhouse gas” is water vapor – clouds. The carbon dioxide is the same stuff we exhale –a natural fertilizer for plants. The slight rise in the amount of CO² is greening the Earth and helping to feed its most poverty stricken peoples.



The Temperature and the True Believers by The Elephant's Child

This graph was published on January 2nd, 2019 by Roy W. Spencer PhD. Dr. Spencer runs the satellite program that measures worldwide temperatures, with Dr. John Christy at the University of Alabama at Huntsville.  It’s the closest we can get to an official global temperature.

UAH_LT_1979_thru_December_2018_v6-550x317

The 2018 globally averaged temperature anomaly, adjusted for the number of days in each month, is +0.23 deg. C, making 2018 the 6th warmest year in the now-40 year satellite record of global lower tropospheric temperature variations. The 2018 globally averaged temperature anomaly, adjusted for the number of days in each month, is +0.23 deg. C, making 2018 the 6th warmest year in the now-40 year satellite record of global lower tropospheric temperature variations.

To clarify, that’s 25 100ths of one degree, and 23 100ths of one degree. Run for the hills!

Temperatures didn’t use to be such a big deal. There were certain vocations where people cared about how cold or how hot it was going to be, so the orange growers, for example, could put out smudge-pots if it was going to freeze. Ships captains kept track. But when it gets to historic temperatures there isn’t much of a record. When Global Warming became a big deal, scientists started looking at temperatures seriously. The earth just does not have weather stations everywhere, and vast areas have no records at all. When we started paying attention, some of the reports from our official stations seemed off.  Anthony Watts got his readers to take pictures of the government’s temperature measuring stations. Turned out that  great many were next to air conditioning outlets, in the middle of reflective concrete walls, next to airport runways, in all sorts of places where the real temperature would be compromised by the location.

Looking back in history, If I remember correctly, there was a British clergyman who had kept his own records for many years. We have paintings of people skating on canals, and when the weather was extreme, people wrote about it. I mentioned ships’ logs, but as you can see, accurate records range from thin to non-existent. But we do know about the big trends — the ice ages, the Potato Famine, the Renaissance. When the crops were destroyed by the weather, people starved. When people have no grasp of the big picture, nor no sense of history beyond their own few years, they may be inclined to think they know more than they do, and assume that calling for a grand big program to solve the country’s problems is just what a very young, very green, very new congressperson should do. Uh huh!



You Might Want to Send This Chart to Your Congressperson by The Elephant's Child

https://americanelephant.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/oila.jpg?w=420

To my astonishment, several of our representatives in Congress seem to be of the opinion that we should ban fossil fuels and the oil and gas industry and “keep fossil fuels in the ground where they belong.” Maybe you want to return to the 19th Century, and horse and buggy days, but I’m rather fond of 21st Century mobility and the modern way of life.

The first miracle drug, aspirin, appeared around the turn of the 19th Century. Henry Ford built his first car in 1893, Marconi invented radio telegraphy in 1894. In 1900 the American scientist R. A. Fessenden transmitted the human voice via radio waves, the first trial flight of the Zeppelin took place. In 1903, Orville and Wilbur Wright flew at Kitty Hawk, and in Britain, Motor-car regulations set a 20 mile-per-hour speed limit. But enough reminiscing. Want to go back? That Ms. Ocasio-Cortez was not laughed out of Congress is testimony to our failure to learn a little history.




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