American Elephants


Questions Without Answers: Where and What is Reality? by The Elephant's Child

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I don’t know if there has ever been a time when reality was so much in question. What’s true and what’s not.  The new federal climate report comes out and climate scientists call it “tripe”–”embarrassing” – “systematically flawed” and said the key claim comes from a study funded by Tom Steyer and Michael Bloomberg. The climate scientists who assume they can program the world’s climate into a computer and get accurate answers about what will happen in the next hundred years have too much faith in computers. (GIGO)

The nation’s farewell to President George Herbert Walker Bush was alternately a celebration of the life of a war hero and a patriot and a good man, and a rebuke to the current president, and the current president and Melania were rebuked by Hillary, but Jeb said the President couldn’t have been nicer.

In Britain, Brexit is damaging to the nation and the European Union, and alternately, it is necessary for Britain to get out from under the control of the European Union, and the migrants may be a huge problem or not at all.

In France, Prime Minister Macron wants a big carbon tax to lower their efforts to damage the climate, and the people don’t want any carbon taxes and don’t plan on having any. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says it is inevitable that climate governance will create economic, social and racial justice. There will only be benefits, and no costs to passing a raft of new climate change laws. Others laugh at her.

Whatever the subject, opinion varies, which is normal, but opinion has become truth, and is not to be doubted. Google has been shown to be eliminating conservative truth and favoring their own leftist leanings. President Trump has said firmly that he is a nationalist, by which he means he loves his country and favors it. The President of France, Emmanuel Macron rebuked U.S. President Donald Trump for putting the interests of U.S. citizens above the demonstration of moral values, and said that nationalism is a bad thing.

The media in this country is conducting a war on President Trump, who they consider an illegal president to whom they are opposed, but clearly he is the legally elected and widely approved President of the United States. President Trump wants to build a wall on the Southern border to prevent the influx of illegal aliens. California has Sanctuary Cities and is, I believe, a sanctuary state.

Forest fires are caused by alternately poor forest management  or global warming, as stated by President Trump or California Governor Jerry Brown. We can determine the truth to the extent that we agree with one side or another, but over and over, there is no widely accepted truth.

This is the reality exposed by the technology giants, who are supposedly emanating only truth, and eliminating “hate speech”, but what is called “hate speech” depends on which voices attract the most valuable clicks. Hollywood celebrities, who have only the fact that we may recognize their faces or names to attest to the worth of what they say, are free to use all the “hate speech” they want because being celebrities they will have lots of followers, which means a lot of clicks for the website. So “Truth” is not what is approved by the websites that claim to be impartial judges of truth and falsehood, but the impartial judges lie as well.

Electoral Fraud is widespread, or simply does not exist. It is hardly surprising that so many are claiming that we are on the brink of a civil war. Truth is fiction, Animal Farm is real, and Maisie Hirono (D-HI) urges Democrats to consider “heart over mind. Don’t tell everybody how smart we are.”

The ceremonies for the mourning of a past president and the long, long lines of people waiting in the cold for a chance to pass by the catafalque suggested to many that President H.W. Bush was the last of the patricians, when everybody agreed on right and wrong and true and false. Of course they didn’t agree then, but the times have changed and we have organizations like Snopes and the SPLC, PoliFact, NewsBusters, the Media Research Center to tell us what is true and what is not, and they deliver falsehoods, and the atmosphere out there is far worse than it ever was.

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Chicken Little in Full Cry: “The Sky is Falling, the Sky is Falling” by The Elephant's Child

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In a press release, the World Meteorological Organization said:

The long-term warming trend has continued in 2018, with the average global temperature set to be the fourth highest on record. The 20 warmest years on record have been in the past 22 years, with the top four in the past four years.’

The BBC and others picked up on that and said:

Climate change” Last four years are the ‘world’s hottest”

And the Guardian:

“Past four years hottest on record, data shows.”

 

As you can see a graph tells a very different story. The past decade has a climate change contribution but what elevates the past four years above the previous ones is an El Nino event, the strongest one on record. As we have said many time before an El Nino is not a climatic phenomenon, it is weather. What’s more, after its peak in 2016 the global temperature has fallen by around 0.4° C. The past four years being the warmest on record is true, but it has been primarily due to the 2015/16 super El Nino.

Warmest on record? Not exactly, the WMO got weather and climate mixed up. For the full commentary, go here.

It is fascinating that in the information age, when we supposedly have access to anything and everything in the way of information, it is so hard to figure out just what the truth is.  What is not politicized, seems to be printed in sheer ignorance.  Politics trumps Truth every time. We should make a little more noise about facts and truth. Google employees apparently wanted to ban any Conservative commentary, yet are happy to connive with the Chinese government in suppressing the freedom of China’s citizens to complete control. Apparently those who have spent their lives so far learning technology issues, have neglected to learn any history, or read the Constitution, or learn the nature of the free enterprise system.



Alexandria Occassionally-Cogent Says We’re All Going to Die in 5 Years If We Don’t Do Something Right Now. by The Elephant's Child

The climate of the Earth has been warming and cooling for millions of years.

THE MORE RECENT CLIMATE TIMELINE

120,000 – 110,000 Years Ago – The Eemian interglacial
100,000 Years Ago – A fairly sudden shift to cold glacial conditions over ∼ 400 years ∼or less. Northern forests retreat – ice sheets take over.

60,000 – 55.000 years between – partial melted glaciers
14,000 years ago – Sudden warming raising temperatures to present levels.
12,500 years ago – Younger Dryas after 1,500 years of recovery from ice age    1000 years of ice age.
12,500 years ago – Present interglacial – Holocene
9,000 to 5,000 years ago – Climate Optimum
2,800 years ago – cooling event, wet conditions

1,500 year cycle – through 1 million years 1,500 year warm-cold cycle superimposed over longer, stronger, ice ages and interglacials.

RECENT EARTH CLIMATE HISTORY

600 to 200 B.C.  Unnamed cold period
200 BC to about AD 600: Roman Warming
600 to 900: Dark Ages: cold period
900 to 1300: Medieval Warming
1300 to 1850: Little Ice Age (two-stage)

MODERN CLIMATE HISTORY

1850 to 1940:  Especially between 1920-1940 warming
1940 to 1975: Cooling trend
1976 to 1978: Sudden Warming spurt
1979 to 1998: + 1º
1998 to 2011:  – 1º

Roy Spencer, PhD is a Principal Research Scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville where he and Dr. John Christy monitor the global temperature with satellites. He has provided congressional testimony several times on the subject of global warming. The link just above provides a short explanation of global warming — do read the whole thing, you’ll understand a lot more, and know what is nonsense, which you will hear a lot of.

His website is www.drroyspencer.com   Lots of good information there, you might want to save the link..

I am most definitely not a climate scientist, but I grew up very rural in what you might think of as the foothills of the Rocky Mountains, somewhere around 5000′ elevation, with woods and a river, and in winter, a fabulous sledding hill, and I’ve been snowed in. So I spent my time outdoors. Significantly different than an urban apartment dweller, even those who profess fondness for nature and the outdoors. A flood took out 5 of our buildings, had  lightning strike a tree close to the house, (big noise), killed a rattlesnake, and I’m a pretty fair shot with woodrats. I’ve heard cougars scream, and run down to the river to catch a trout for breakfast. So I’m not impressed with folks marching or running around in polar bear suits.



There Are Real Problems With “True Believers” by The Elephant's Child

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Back in early August, Katy Grimes wrote in the Sacramento Citizen “Last year, as all Hell was breaking loose in California as residents were burned out of their homes, neighborhoods and businesses, Gov. Jerry Brown was jetting around the world spouting climate change propaganda. He’s been calling this California’s ‘new normal.’ Gov. Brown was in Paris to commiserate with other true believers about President Trump’s leaving the Paris Climate Accords.”

Grimes and Megan Barth reported that:

Supporting Obama-era regulations have resulted in the new normal: an endless and devastating fire season. Obama-era regulations introduced excessive layers of bureaucracy that blocked proper forest management and increased environmentalist litigation and costs– a result of far too many radical environmentalists, bureaucrats, Leftist politicians and judicial activists who would rather let forests burn, than let anyone thin out overgrown trees or let professional loggers harvest usable timber left from beetle infestation, or selectively cut timber.

Mismanaged, overcrowded forests provide fuel to historic California wildfires, experts say. The 129 million dead trees throughout California’s forests are serving as matchsticks and kindling.

On November 13, Jerry Brown said “Leaders are Equally as Blind on Climate Change as Those who Started Similar Horrors of World War I.” On November 18, he was on CBS’s “Face the Nation”said that the increasing frequency of wildfires in California meant that “in less than five years” the “worst skeptics” were going to be believers in climate change.
President Trump remarked that it was due to poor forest management. The President was backed up by Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke. who said that “even photos of the devastation don’t do justice to what it was like to see it in person. Pointing to years of neglect and dead and dying timber, he observed that it was a flamethrower of embers shooting through the fires.
He added that “radical environmentalists have filed lawsuits to let nature take its course, and that these fires are the consequence of allowing nature to do so. I will lay this at the foot of those environmental radicals that have prevented us from managing the forests for years and this is on them.”

And in this campaign season, we have had billionaire Tom Steyer roaming around the country in his “need to impeach tour” wafting million dollar bills around to get states to sign up for unworkable renewable energy.” Most voters turned him down decisively.

They are “True Believers” – I don’t know what convinces them that the earth is going to die shortly from the perils of global warming, but they certainly don’t read the science, which says with the current lack of sunspots on the sun, we’re in for a colder period. Islands in the Pacific report that the ocean is not rising around their islands. The polar bears are multiplying. I suppose that they just automatically reject any scientist that does not agree with the conventional warmist theme.

But if you pay attention to what the Democrats say, a significant amount of their political belief system seems to fall in the “True Believer” category. And that seems to be what our colleges and universities are turning out—young true believers, and that is downright scary.



You Were Complaining About the Cost of Your Health Care? by The Elephant's Child

The Black Death: 1348-1350, was an amalgam of three diseases: Bubonic plague, septicemic plague, and pulmonary plague. The first two came from fleas carried by black rats, the third was an airborne variant. Cautious estimates: 1/3 of the population of Europe perished. About 1.4 million – 2 million in England, 8 million in France, 30 million in Europe as a whole.

This was a decisive point in the decline of the European feudal system. By 1230 the English population was 6 million. Not until the mid-18th century did population reach this number again.



There Are Too Many Polar Bears In Nunavut! by The Elephant's Child

“There are strange things done in the midnight sun:” The Inuit are complaining that there are too many polar bears in Nunavut, and climate change hasn’t yet affected any of them, or so says a draft management plan from the Canadian territorial government that contradicts conventional scientific thinking.

The proposed plan says that growing bear numbers are increasingly jeopardizing public safety, and it’s high time that Inuit knowledge drove management policy instead of the other way around. We have the bureaucracy problem down here too. Bureaucrats safe in comfortable offices far away from the specifics they are regulating don’t respect local knowledge. Rather like Hillary, referring to a majority of the people in the center of the country as “deplorables”—bureaucrats are apt to think they have more degrees and are thus smarter than the locals they are regulating. Polar bears killed two Inuit last summer.

The plan leans heavily on Inuit knowledge, which yields population estimates higher than those suggested by western science for almost all of the 13 included bear populations.

Scientists say only one population of bears is growing; Inuit say there are nine. Environment Canada says four populations are shrinking; Inuit say none are.

The proposed plan downplays one of the scientific community’s main concerns.

“Although there is growing scientific evidence linking the impacts of climate change to reduced body condition of bears and projections of population declines, no declines have currently been attributed to climate change,” it says. “(Inuit knowledge) acknowledges that polar bears are exposed to the effects of climate change, but suggests that they are adaptable.”

Susan Crockford is the wildlife biologist who is expert on polar bears and issues an annual report. Her 2017 report is here.

The environmental activists who run around in polar bear suits at venues where they can expect press attention can’t be bothered to study up on the polar bear situation, nor can the mainstream media. Nor, apparently does Tom Steyer, billionaire climate activist and true believer who is running around the country trying to convince people about the “need to impeach” President Trump for denying imminent global warming. It has been a warm year in Central Europe so far this year, but it is not due to global warming, the globe has been cooling off, or at least not warming at all. This is the third year in a row that the globe has cooled off from it’s El Nino high in 2015. Arctic ice has stabilized over the past 10 years and this year the Northwest Passage was closed the entire year. The Hudson Bay freeze up has come earlier than average. They even had snow in Texas. There are currently fewer sunspots on the sun.

A Max Planck Institute Climate Modeler has said that we have a 10 year reprieve, earlier climate models were too sensitive. And so it goes. Panic and reprieve. Facts are so troublesome.

Mark Morano of Climate Depot has a Facebook video about his recent book debunking the climate alarmists like Al Gore and Tom Steyer.



Color-Blind People Seeing Color for the First Time by The Elephant's Child

Approximately 1 in 12 men and 1 in 200 women have some degree of color blindness. There are different types of color blindness, but the most common is called red/green color blindness. Some people are completely colorblind to all colors and the glasses can’t help them, but that is very rade condition. That they have accomplished this is deeply encouraging. Purple seems to be the most astonishing color, it looked the same as blue before.




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