American Elephants


Nobel Peace Prize Awarded to Ethiopian P.M. Abiy Ahmed by The Elephant's Child

The highly acclaimed child climate leader, Greta Thunberg, 16-year-old  leader of the youth climate movement about skipping school to protest can return home to Sweden, with  the success of addressing the Congress and the United Nations. Her sponsors have suggested that she was denied the Nobel Peace Prize (which is awarded by Norwegians) because Norway is one of the world’s largest oil and gas exporters. Improbable.

The earth has been warming and cooling for millions of years. The current warming is nothing out of the ordinary. There have been far warmer years in the past and far cooler years as well. Please note the long list of climate panics in my previous post. There is no planet emergency, it’s all hype, intended as an attack on capitalism, as the Secretary of the IPCC has admitted.

The Nobel Peace Prize went to Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed for his substantial efforts in brokering peace between his country and neighboring Eritrea. For decades Ethiopia and Eritrea were one country, Eritrea seceded in 1991. Families separated, unable to reunite, violent conflict at the borders cost more than 80,000 lives in the span of just two years. That would seem to be more of an accomplishment than getting kids to skip school to march for saving the Earth from a non-existent climate threat.



Climate Panic Is Nothing New, We’ve Been Having Them for Years and Years! by The Elephant's Child

I have mentioned frequently that climate panics are nothing new. The country has been having them for years, every extra cold winter or every hot summer. Perhaps it is just human nature to worry about a changing climate. But it is not a casual matter. For at least 120 years, climate “scientists” have been warning that the climate is going to kill us, but they keep switching from a coming ice age to global warming.

Here’s a timeline of claims just from 1895 to 2014. which doesn’t even include the “1800 and froze to death” Little Ice Age from the early 1800s. Tom Lifson of American Thinker, referred me to Anthony Watts’  WattsUpWithThat.

  • 1902 – “Disappearing Glaciers…deteriorating slowly, with a persistency that means their final annihilation…scientific fact…surely disappearing.” – Los Angeles Times
  • 1912 Prof. Schmidt Warns Us of an Encroaching Ice AgeNew York Times, October 1912
  • 1923 – “Scientist says Arctic ice will wipe out Canada” – Professor Gregory of Yale University, American representative to the Pan-Pacific Science Congress, – Chicago Tribune
  • 1923 – “The discoveries of changes in the sun’s heat and the southward advance of glaciers in recent years have given rise to conjectures of the possible advent of a new ice age” – Washington Post
  • 1924 MacMillan Reports Signs of New Ice Age New York Times, Sept 18, 1924
  • 1929 – “Most geologists think the world is growing warmer, and that it will continue to get warmer” – Los Angeles Times, in Is another ice age coming?
  • 1932 – “If these things be true, it is evident, therefore that we must be just teetering on an ice age” – The Atlantic magazine, This Cold, Cold World
  • 1933 America in Longest Warm Spell Since 1776; Temperature Line Records a 25-Year Rise New York Times, March 27th, 1933
  • 1933 – “…wide-spread and persistent tendency toward warmer weather…Is our climate changing?” – Federal Weather Bureau “Monthly Weather Review.”
  • 1938 – Global warming, caused by man heating the planet with carbon dioxide, “is likely to prove beneficial to mankind in several ways, besides the provision of heat and power.”– Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
  • 1938 – “Experts puzzle over 20 year mercury rise…Chicago is in the front rank of thousands of cities thruout the world which have been affected by a mysterious trend toward warmer climate in the last two decades” – Chicago Tribune
  • 1939 – “Gaffers who claim that winters were harder when they were boys are quite right… weather men have no doubt that the world at least for the time being is growing warmer” – Washington Post
  • 1952 – “…we have learned that the world has been getting warmer in the last half century” – New York Times, August 10th, 1962
  • 1954 – “…winters are getting milder, summers drier. Glaciers are receding, deserts growing” – U.S. News and World Report
  • 1954 Climate – the Heat May Be OffFortune Magazine
  • 1959 – “Arctic Findings in Particular Support Theory of Rising Global Temperatures” – New York Times
  • 1969 – “…the Arctic pack ice is thinning and that the ocean at the North Pole may become an open sea within a decade or two” – New York Times, February 20th, 1969
  • 1969 – “If I were a gambler, I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000″ — Paul Ehrlich (while he now predicts doom from global warming, this quote only gets honorable mention, as he was talking about his crazy fear of overpopulation)
  • 1970 – “…get a good grip on your long johns, cold weather haters – the worst may be yet to come…there’s no relief in sight” – Washington Post
  • 1974 – Global cooling for the past forty years – Time Magazine
  • 1974 – “Climatological Cassandras are becoming increasingly apprehensive, for the weather aberrations they are studying may be the harbinger of another ice age” – Washington Post
  • 1974 – “As for the present cooling trend a number of leading climatologists have concluded that it is very bad news indeed” – Fortune magazine, who won a Science Writing Award from the American Institute of Physics for its analysis of the danger
  • 1974 – “…the facts of the present climate change are such that the most optimistic experts would assign near certainty to major crop failure…mass deaths by starvation, and probably anarchy and violence” – New York Times

1975 Scientists Ponder Why World’s Climate is Changing; A Major Cooling Widely Considered to Be InevitableNew York Times, May 21st, 1975

  • 1975 – “The threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for mankind” Nigel Calder, editor, New Scientist magazine, in an article in International Wildlife Magazine
  • 1976 – “Even U.S. farms may be hit by cooling trend” – U.S. News and World Report
  • 1981 – Global Warming – “of an almost unprecedented magnitude” – New York Times
  • 1988 – I would like to draw three main conclusions. Number one, the earth is warmer in 1988 than at any time in the history of instrumental measurements. Number two, the global warming is now large enough that we can ascribe with a high degree of confidence a cause and effect relationship to the greenhouse effect. And number three, our computer climate simulations indicate that thegreenhouse effect is already large enough to begin to effect the probability of extreme events such as summer heat waves. – Jim Hansen, June 1988 testimony before Congress, see His later quote and His superior’s objection for context
  • 1989 -“On the one hand, as scientists we are ethically bound to the scientific method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but – which means that we must include all doubts, the caveats, the ifs, ands and buts. On the other hand, we are not just scientists but human beings as well. And like most people we’d like to see the world a better place, which in this context translates into our working to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climate change. To do that we need to get some broad based support, to capture the public’s imagination. That, of course, means getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have. This “double ethical bind” we frequently find ourselves in cannot be solved by any formula. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest. I hope that means being both.” – Stephen Schneider, lead author of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Discover magazine, October 1989
  • 1990 – “We’ve got to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing – in terms of economic policy and environmental policy” – Senator Timothy Wirth
  • 1993 – “Global climate change may alter temperature and rainfall patterns, many scientists fear, with uncertain consequences for agriculture.” – U.S. News and World Report
  • 1998 – No matter if the science [of global warming] is all phony . . . climate change [provides] the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the world.” —Christine Stewart, Canadian Minister of the Environment, Calgary Herald, 1998
  • 2001 – “Scientists no longer doubt that global warming is happening, and almost nobody questions the fact that humans are at least partly responsible.” – Time Magazine, Monday, Apr. 09, 2001
  • 2003 – Emphasis on extreme scenarios may have been appropriate at one time, when the public and decision-makers were relatively unaware of the global warming issue, and energy sources such as “synfuels,” shale oil and tar sands were receiving strong consideration” – Jim Hansen, NASA Global Warming activist, Can we defuse The Global Warming Time Bomb?, 2003
  • 2006 – “I believe it is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual presentations on how dangerous it is, as a predicate for opening up the audience to listen to what the solutions are, and how hopeful it is that we are going to solve this crisis.” — Al Gore, Grist magazine, May 2006
  • 2006 – “It is not a debate over whether the earth has been warming over the past century. The earth is always warming or cooling, at least a few tenths of a degree…” — Richard S. Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan professor of meteorology at MIT
  • 2006 – “What we have fundamentally forgotten is simple primary school science. Climate always changes. It is always…warming or cooling, it’s never stable. And if it were stable, it would actually be interesting scientifically because it would be the first time for four and a half billion years.” —Philip Stott, emeritus professor of bio-geography at the University of London
  • 2006 – “Since 1895, the media has alternated between global cooling and warming scares during four separate and sometimes overlapping time periods. From 1895 until the 1930’s the media peddled a coming ice age. From the late 1920’s until the 1960’s they warned of global warming. From the 1950’s until the 1970’s they warned us again of a coming ice age. This makes modern global warming the fourth estate’s fourth attempt to promote opposing climate change fears during the last 100 years.” – Senator James Inhofe, Monday, September 25, 2006
  • 2007– “I gave a talk recently (on fallacies of global warming) and three members of the Canadian government, the environmental cabinet, came up afterwards and said, ‘We agree with you, but it’s not worth our jobs to say anything.’ So what’s being created is a huge industry with billions of dollars of government money and people’s jobs dependent on it.” – Dr. Tim Ball, Coast-to-Coast, Feb 6, 2007
  • 2008 – “Hansen was never muzzled even though he violated NASA’s official agency position on climate forecasting (i.e., we did not know enough to forecast climate change or mankind’s effect on it). Hansen thus embarrassed NASA by coming out with his claims of global warming in 1988 in his testimony before Congress” – Dr. John S. Theon, retired Chief of the Climate Processes Research Program at NASA, see above for Hansen quotes

Section updated by Anthony:

  • 2009Climate change: melting ice will trigger wave of natural disasters. Scientists at a London conference next week will warn of earthquakes, avalanches and volcanic eruptions as the atmosphere heats up and geology is altered. Even Britain could face being struck by tsunamis – “Not only are the oceans and atmosphere conspiring against us, bringing baking temperatures, more powerful storms and floods, but the crust beneath our feet seems likely to join in too,” – Professor Bill McGuire, director of the Benfield Hazard Research Centre, at University College London, – The Guardian, Sep 2009.
  • 2010What Global Warming Looks Like. It was more than 5°C (about 10°F) warmer than climatology in the eastern European region including Moscow. There was an area in eastern Asia that was similarly unusually hot. The eastern part of the United States was unusually warm, although not to the degree of the hot spots in Eurasia. James HansenNASA GISS, August 11, 2010.
  • 2011Where Did Global Warming Go? “In Washington, ‘climate change’ has become a lightning rod, it’s a four-letter word,” said Andrew J. Hoffman, director of the University of Michigan’s Erb Institute for Sustainable Development.   – New York Times, Oct 15, 2011.

  • 2012Global warming close to becoming irreversible-scientists. “This is the critical decade. If we don’t get the curves turned around this decade we will cross those lines,” said Will Steffen, executive director of the Australian National University’s climate change institute, speaking at a conference in London. Reuters, Mar 26, 2012
  • 2013Global-warming ‘proof’ is evaporating.  The 2013 hurricane season just ended as one of the five quietest years since 1960. But don’t expect anyone who pointed to last year’s hurricanes as “proof” of the need to act against global warming to apologize; the warmists don’t work that way. New York Post, Dec 5, 2013
  • 2014  – Climate change: It’s even worse than we thought.  Five years ago, the last report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change painted a gloomy picture of our planet’s future. As climate scientists gather evidence for the next report, due in 2014, Michael Le Page gives seven reasons why things are looking even grimmer. – New Scientist (undated in 2014)

Sorry, Greta. Lots of people get fooled by public pronouncements. You are not alone.



Did You Know That Americans Invented Natural History? by The Elephant's Child

I have been spending a lot of time lately with Daniel J. Boorstin, especially in his book The Americans: the Colonial Experience. He points out that Americans invented natural history.

“In the old world, things were known and well established. In ancient populous England, nearly every new fact or experience was gained by effort, talent or courage. Not so in America, where novelty seemed to force itself on even the most indifferent and insensitive eye.”

The American came to believe that new knowledge came from just sharply looking at the world, and from acting in it. His contribution to knowledge was to be the recording of the scenes and experiences of daily life. This was natural history.

In England in the later 17th century, Robert Boyle, Sir Isaac Newton, and others in the flourishing Royal Society charted new laws of physics.But such additions to knowledge, far from being mere bits of information, were sophisticated generalizations. It was precisely in this realm that the stirring discoveries were made in England during the American Colonial period. The physical sciences were confirmed by experience and observation, but in their atmosphere, in their emphasis, even in their purpose they differed from natural history, which was the realm of the new world’s promise.

Wherever they cast their eyes, things were different. New birds, new fish, new plants, new fruits. The Columbian exchange had not yet taken place, or not in a manner that had changed the world. It was the beginning of natural history. And as Americans gradually expanded across the continent, it was always new and unknown and newly recorded. Eventually the explorers Lewis and Clark and all that followed. Truly a new world.

If you hike on over to the peak, and drop down the other side, that’s where I grew up!



Renewable Energy, Correctly Understood by The Elephant's Child

From the Manhattan Institute:

If You Want ‘Renewable Energy,’ Get Ready to Dig

Democrats dream of powering society entirely with wind and solar farms combined with massive batteries. Realizing this dream would require the biggest expansion in mining the world has seen and would produce huge quantities of waste.

“Renewable energy” is a misnomer. Wind and solar machines and batteries are built from nonrenewable materials. And they wear out. Old equipment must be decommissioned, generating millions of tons of waste. The International Renewable Energy Agency calculates that solar goals for 2050 consistent with the Paris Accords will result in old-panel disposal constituting more than double the tonnage of all today’s global plastic waste. Consider some other sobering numbers: …

When electricity comes from wind or solar machines, every unit of energy produced, or mile traveled, requires far more materials and land than fossil fuels. That physical reality is literally visible: A wind or solar farm stretching to the horizon can be replaced by a handful of gas-fired turbines, each no bigger than a tractor-trailer.

Building one wind turbine requires 900 tons of steel, 2,500 tons of concrete and 45 tons of non recyclable plastic. Solar power requires even more cement, steel and glass—not to mention other metals. Global silver and indium mining will jump 250% and 1,200% respectively over the next couple of decades to provide the materials necessary to build the number of solar panels, the International Energy Agency forecasts. World demand for rare-earth elements—which aren’t rare but are rarely mined in America—will rise 300% to 1,000% by 2050 to meet the Paris green goals. If electric vehicles replace conventional cars, demand for cobalt and lithium, will rise more than 20-fold. That doesn’t count batteries to back up wind and solar grids.

Do read the whole thing.



We Really Are Getting Stupider by The Elephant's Child

I have become increasingly concerned about the media and the state of the internet. I think the proliferation of short bits of information on social media are causing people to ration (way too much) what they read. Twitter, Facebook encourage one to read bits, not full articles. More scholarly articles now may come labeled with minutes and seconds, to say how long it will take to read the piece so the reader will not be too soon discouraged. We are getting stupider.

I just wrote a bit on climate confusion or rather, climate panic. The Earth has been far warmer in the past, and far cooler as well. There is nothing to worry about in today’s climate science. The climate always changes as it has done for millions of years.

A woman at Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s town hall today took climate extremism to the next level. She likes AOC’s Green New Deal, but it isn’t fast enough. We have only weeks and months before it’s all over. We have to start eating the babies.

How could this young woman get such utterly goofy ideas in her head? AOC’s “Green New Deal” was the epitome of ignorance, and utterly impossible. Based on scaring people into accepting unacceptable socialist government, even admitted to by AOC’s former chief of staff. Have we reached such a state of ignorance that we just accept what is said by someone with no particular qualifications? There are highly qualified climate scientists. This young woman  even had tee shirts printed up. Unbelievable.

ADDENDUM: Tee- Hee! Alexandria Occasia-Cortez insists, today, that the baby-eating supporter at her town hall was really a Trump supporter. Why am I not surprised?



Understanding Climate Panics, and Why They Occur by The Elephant's Child

The big thing to remember in all climate writings and excess, is that the climate of the earth has been changing for millions of years. It has been far warmer in the past during the Medieval Optimum, when wine grapes grew in England and wheat in Norway, and society flourished. It has also been far cooler during cold spells, such as the Little Ice Age in the 1800s, remembered as “1800 and Froze to Death.”

Climate panics take place regularly, for there are vast numbers of pessimists out there who don’t bother to do their required homework, and get all excited when someone appears in a polar bear suit, or in the case of Vegans — eats meat. Sure that fossil fuels are the source of planet doom (and that Oil and Gas companies are not only rich (the bad are usually rich) but destroying the world with CO2 )emitted by our nasty habit of driving cars and so on and so on. To the contrary, CO2 is plant food, and is greening the world. to such an extent that it can be seen from space. It is feeding the hungry with bountiful crops.

I believe firmly that we are being dumbed down by the internet and social media. We are being taught that we are to be informed by snappy headlines or tweets, and do not pursue the entire subject for lack of time and energy. You have to read the whole thing, not just the headline. Tweets may be interesting. but are not intended to pass on knowledge. The danger of an ill-informed public is extreme.



From the Babylon Bee: “Preparing For This Moment!” by The Elephant's Child
Nation’s Civil War Re-enactors Have Been Preparing For This Moment Their Entire Lives

“I knew this day would come,” said Jed Jenkins, who reenacts the Battle of Gettysburg every year. “When Trump tweeted about civil war, I donned my rebel gray uniform and answered the call.”

The nation has long wondered why Civil War re-enactors did what they did, thinking it was “cool but kinda weird” that they get all dressed up in historically accurate uniforms and pretend to shoot each other. But now it’s clear: they were getting ready for the second Civil War, and the nation is laughing at them no more.

According to a report, thousands of reenactors began descending on the site of Fort Sumter yesterday to get things started. Cannons were wheeled into position. Rifles were loaded. Muskets were musketed. Rebels and Union soldiers began shouting insults at each other, as they’ve practiced for years. The tension was high as everyone waited for the first shot of Civil War 2: The Sequel.

Unfortunately, Trump then tweeted, “Lol jk,” making the reenactors sad. They say their time will still come at some point in the future however, and when it does, they’ll be ready.




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