American Elephants


Watch the Whole Thing, and Share it With Your Friends by The Elephant's Child

John Christy PhD is a Climatologist at the University of Alabama at Huntsville. Dr. Roy Spencer is also there. They measure the temperature of the earth with satellites and weather balloons. Here he is addressing the Paris Global Warming Policy Forum.

This is a little long, but utterly fascinating, as he explains the reality of today’s climate, what is proved and what comes from computer models rather than from observed and tested fact.

Back when everyone decided to get all excited about climate, federal money became very available to anyone who could write a good grant proposal. They borrowed the computer programs Wall Street had used to predict future market value. They put in what they knew for sure about the workings of the climate, which was not very much, what they thought would probably be correct and then a lot of educated guesses. The grants got them fancier labs, and new computers and some assistants, but the provable part seemed to escape them. (That’s me, not Dr. Christy)

There’s a lot of information here, and he does a fine job of explaining what is known and what is not, and it is very worth your time. Enjoy.



Tuesday Was a Big Day for Climate Panic. Run for the Hills! by The Elephant's Child


Tuesday was a big day for all things climate. One Blythe Pepino who appears on CTV’s ‘Your Morning’, on Monday announced that since she has some power and privilege and has no children, no dependents, she is not going to give birth, to put pressure on our governments to “make the big changes we need for our survival” since the IPCC warned that the window to prevent catastrophic climate change is just 11 years.” Well, that should persuade the governments of the world.

“Extinction Rebellion” protesters turned out over the New York Times failure to provide enough coverage of the climate crisis. 70 people were arrested as they staged a “die-in” and disrupted traffic in front of the Times building.

In Oregon, Republicans left the legislature for other states to avoid having to vote on Governor Kate Brown’s unfortunate climate legislation.

With the Governor now threatening to use the state police to force Senators back to their chamber, it would be a good time to look at the cold, hard facts of what this bill will and won’t do.

The very basis for the bill is based on severely flawed science, the increased costs would be economically harmful and successful implementation would have virtually no effect on temperature. 

Here in Washington State, Governor Jay Inslee, 2020 presidential hopeful, is basing his entire campaign on “climate.” He said today that as president he can stop the influx of migrants at the border by solving the climate crisis. He claimed on MSNBC that the cause of the influx is the so-called climate crisis. Uh huh. His carbon tax will be damaging to the state, and accomplish nothing at all.

Climate scientists are appalled. Climatologist Dr.Judith Curry who notes that she has”devoted four decades to conducting research related to extreme weather events and climate change…The sense that extreme weather events are now more frequent or intense, caused by manmade global warming is symptomatic of “weather amnesia.” Her website is http://www.climate etc.

But the glaciers are melting (no they are not, they are growing) in Greenland, Iceland, Glacier National Park. Colorado just had a big dump of fresh snow. AOC knows nothing about the climate, she has become “click-bait” for the nutty things she says. Tom Steyer is a true believer, and a climate alarmist. The earth has been warming and cooling for millions of years, and is currently in a cooling phase.

Go to SEPP.org. ( The Science and Environmental Policy Project) and subscribe for a once weekly report in your e-mail about the climate news of the week. Visit Climate Depot, Dr, Roy Spencer.com and Watts Up With That – listed in the sidebar. Become an informed consumer of the news. The UN’s IPCC is not a reliable source for climate information. I keep pointing out that Christiana Figueres, the General Secretary of the IPCC announced some time ago — that “the goal of environmental activists was not to save the world from ecological calamity — but to destroy capitalism.” It is frightening the numbers of people who get all panicky because of a character like AOC or Tom Steyer, and don’t try to inform themselves by consulting real scientists.

Here’s what is actually going on:

Renewable energy is a myth. Wind turbines don’t produce enough energy because the wind is too intermittent. Sunlight is too diffuse. Both sources of energy require 24/7 backup from a conventional power source such as fossil fuels, natural gas, hydropower, or nuclear power. You wouldn’t like the society that would result from the loss of all that energy.



Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the Meaning of “Click-bait” by The Elephant's Child

Perhaps we should increase the age when one is eligible to run for Congress. AOC was apparently an excellent student. She graduated cum laude with a double major in international affairs and (snort) economics. But she was the youngest woman to be elected to Congress. She announced Friday that an explosion at a Philadelphia oil refinery was due to climate change, arguing that the incident underscores the urgency of her Green New Deal.  (A vat of butane ignited and eventually exploded at the Philadelphia Energy Solutions Refining Complex, followed by a series of smaller explosions through the pipes moving fuel around the complex. It injured five workers and took 120 firefighters to bring under control.)

You have noticed, I ‘m sure that AOC has become what is called “click bait”– that is, articles about her will be clicked on and partly read, which means that the advertisers’ ads will be seen, which pays the newsmen’s salaries for their stories. (Heck of a way to run an economy). Democrats pay attention because she is one of theirs who gets attention, those suffering from “climate panic” because of her “green new deal”, and Republicans, because everything she says is so remarkably stupid. She also had some remark about Trump not allowing toothpaste to the children in the concentration camps at the southern border. She has never been to the southern border, and has turned down innumerable offers to be enlightened a little about concentration camps.

ADDENDUM: I saw an article which showed AOC at the border, so I was mistaken about her never having been. I cannot find it again, but as I recall, she was staring at a chain link fence, which she apparently confused with a concentration camp. I apologize for misleading anyone.



Joe Biden Told Us a Little About his Plans by The Elephant's Child

Joe Biden has told us what he has in mind. He starts with a “Clean Energy Revolution” (read Green New Deal) for a measly $1.7 trillion by 2050, 100% clean energy. (Why doesn’t anyone do a little studying up before they start making big impossible plans?) Unless you want to depend on nuclear power plants, you cannot have “clean energy.”

The sun sinks beneath the horizon in the evening, just when everyone needs to turn on the lights. Some days are cloudy or rainy. Sunlight is too diffuse to be a serious power source. Solar energy needs 24/7 backup from a regular power source, for all the times when it is not shining in a clear sky. So what about that “regular power source”?

Even in the windiest places, wind turbines need backup from a regular power source. Turbines need the wind to blow steadily at about 35 mph. Doesn’t happen. The wind blows in puffs and wafts and sometimes gales and often not at all. But “Climate” has become something of a religion for the left, and they just be-leeeve, they don’t investigate.

As I understand it, the level of CO² in the atmosphere at the present is exceptionally high. The planet, however, seems to be cooling. Glaciers are growing, not melting, in Glacier National Park, in Iceland, and in Antarctica — which would seem to suggest that increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere does not cause global warming, or in current terminology “climate change.” If that is the case, perhaps you don’t have to trade in your gas guzzler on a self-driving electric car, but then I was an English major, and learned to read a lot, not how to do atmospheric science.

Joe Biden also wants a new transcontinental high-speed rail. From what I read, that hasn’t worked out too well in California, but I’m not a mechanical engineer either.  I read that there are 1.1 million jobs currently in the fossil fuel industry. So maybe they won’t lose their jobs, but all the new jobs in the clean energy sector won’t materialize either. Biden says that Trump poses a fundamental threat to America, a threat to democracy and a threat to the Constitution. His strategy is that it’s all about Trump, and personal. He’s apparently going to run on returning to the slow. low-growth Obama economy. Will that work? Eight years and never over 2% growth, not once.

All of the 24 (?) 25 (?) Democrat candidates who we will be hearing from in their first upcoming debate, are undoubtedly all running precisely because Trump is so absolutely horrible, terrible, very bad, and a “fundamental threat.” Pity that none of them ever learned to read.



The New York Times Is Trying To Rewrite Their Own Climate History by The Elephant's Child

The New York Times, legendary “paper of record” is now attempting to rewrite their own history of what they have said about climate in the past. Not that anyone believes it is the paper or record these days. But it is an interesting correction to their reporting and making claims that are the exact opposite of reality. Revealing and Interesting.



The Climate Has Been Changing for Millions of Years by The Elephant's Child

On the 75th anniversary of D-Day, Elizabeth Warren announced that Climate Change is “A Bigger Threat Than World War II”, and launched a Two Trillion “infrastructure investment plan” to address the threat of climate change, which she claims is a bigger threat to the American way of life than the enemies the Allied forces faced in World War II. The climate crisis in this country is a threat to the very existence of every living thing on this planet.

Not to be outdone in the climate panic department, our very own governor, Jay Inslee, who is running for the presidency on a climate based campaign in which the American people have showed no interest whatsoever, told an NBC News correspondent that President Trump’s stance on global warming is “treason.”

Something that is becoming increasingly obvious about Democrats is that they simply do not do their homework. It is remarkably obvious as well in the other 23 declared candidates for the presidency. They open their mouths and say something that should disqualify them from not only the presidency, but from whatever office they currently hold. Before you start spouting about existential threats to all life on the planet, you should have actually looked into the science. You could start with Dr. Roy Spencer and Dr.Tom Christy who measure the temperatures of the Earth for NASA at the University of Alabama at Huntsville.

The climate of the earth has been warming and cooling for millions of years. When the current interest fading into panic first reared it’s ugly head, all sorts of grants became available to anyone who could write a good grant proposal. Science departments in many universities felt that they could accomplish something with more powerful computers and the program used by financial people to forecast what the markets would do. Trouble was there were all sorts of unanswered questions out there, like the part played by clouds. They entered what they knew for sure, which was not all that much, and then their best guesses, and a few wild ones, and so we arrived at the current state of affairs.

Thing is, the planet is actually cooling, not warming. Glaciers are not melting, they are growing. Glacier National Park has quietly removed the signs “Gone by 2020” after the glaciers just kept on not being gone, but actually growing. The increased CO² in the atmosphere is greening the earth, since carbon dioxide, which we exhale, is a natural fertilizer for plants.The increased greening is visible from space.

The major greenhouse gas (95%) of the atmosphere is not Carbon Dioxide (CO²) but water vapor. (Clouds) According to Dr. Tim Ball, the next most important greenhouse gas of relevance is methane CH4, but it is only 0.000175 percent of atmospheric gases and 0.036 percent or all greenhouse gases. Water vapor is 95% of the atmosphere by volume, and is by far the most abundant and important greenhouse gas. And we just don’t understand clouds at all.

Surely when you were a kid, at some point you lay out on the lawn on a nice summer day to just watch the clouds drifting across the sky. If the action of clouds is a major determinant of climate, how do you measure that? Sometimes there are layers of clouds, each layer going in different directions. Sometimes there are lovely white clouds in front, and off in the distance big black thunderclouds, everything moving.

Then there is Christiana Figueres. She was the general secretary of the IPPC who admitted in a press conference that the goal of environmental activists was not to save the world from ecological calamity — but to destroy Capitalism.

“This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution,” she said.

There are numbers of others in the climate field who have made similar admissions. There are innumerable books on climate and the error of climate panic, from Britain, Australia, Canada and the U.S. There’s a wide range of websites devoted to climate, I’ve listed just a few in the sidebar.

*The photo is looking due north. If you head over to the snowy peak and jump off towards the North, you will be where I grew up. This mountain is the northernmost anchor of the West range of mountains in Idaho. Nice country.



Climate is a Very Big Business. Keep That in Mind. by The Elephant's Child

NOAA has finally verified the fact, (proven years go by Anthony Watts of Watts Up With That.com), that poor siting of official climate monitoring stations has meant a record of more warming  than actually exists. Follow the link above to see a visual explanation of what is meant by “poor siting.” Several years ago Anthony sent readers of his blog out to take photographs of the  sites of weather monitoring stations. Some were surrounded by heat reflecting concrete walls, some next to trash burners and some where the exhaust from an air-conditioning unit blew directly. There had been talk of an Urban Heat-Island Effect, but NOAA was not prepared to acknowledge that it was important enough to affect their reporting.

Now the UN and the Media have dredged up the old species extinction fears. Climate change is going to mean mass extinctions of our wildlife and we have to do something right now! Been there, done that, but they dredged up the discredited Paul Erlich for interviews. We are discovering new species all the time. There are regular panics about a species disappearing, only to find that they simply moved. There may not be any on this side of the hill, but what about the other side? There are even scientists trying to bring back extinct species like wooly mammoths. I’m not sure that’s even a good idea.

The monkeys at the top of the post are tesulas from the Democratic Republic of Congo, newly discovered in 2012. If you enter ‘new species’ in the search bar over Bob Hope’s head in the sidebar, you will find others.

“Climate” is a very big business, wind and solar manufacturing is big business. Our Washington state governor Jay Inslee is running for the presidency on the issue of climate, and he just got the legislature to pass a bill that will eliminate all fossil fuels from state energy sources by 2045 so we can rely completely on “clean energy.” 2045 probably seemed distant enough that those who voted for that dumb bill wouldn’t be blamed, and left lots of time to change if it didn’t work out. Fortunately there is no particular interest in his climate campaign, even with the Green New Deal theme out there.

The United Nations is a very big business, and they need to be seen as doing good works, so addressing climate extinctions may well have goals beyond simply “saving species”.

The climate has been changing for millions of years. There is more CO2 in the atmosphere now than in any time in the past, but the planet has been cooling for years, so obviously the notion that carbon dioxide is contributing to dangerous warming may be incorrect. When climate change became a big deal, numbers of scientists in university disciplines found that they could propose an interesting project, and get federal grants to improve their labs and get assistants if they could write a good grant proposal. Many found that they could imitate the climate with computer programs designed to predict what the stock market might do under differing circumstances. They put in what they knew about the climate and some educated guesses, and some plain old guesses which supposedly lets them prognosticate about future warming and catastrophic decline of species. Actual measurements in the real world seem to work better than guesswork in a high-tech computer.

I make no claim of scientific expertise, I was an English major, but I do a lot of reading, which I recommend to the numbers of new Democrat candidates for the presidency. Helps to keep you from Green New Deals and catastrophic species decline and extinction, among quite a few other things.




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