American Elephants


Michigan Won’t Revote by American Elephant
March 18, 2008, 9:13 am
Filed under: News, Politics | Tags: , , , , ,

The Michigan legislature must approve any re-vote. The votes aren’t there.



9 out of 4,700 Retired Military Leaders Endorse Obama by American Elephant

Obama Plays Make Believe

Context is everything.

Yesterday, Barack Obama veered off his usual, platitudinous campaign theme of, “Believe!” and deep into the realm of make-believe.

Having served only one-half of one term in the senate (most of which he has spent on the campaign trail), the self-styled messianic candidate has been damaged by claims that he lacks the knowledge and experience necessary to be President and Commander in Chief.

Gee, do you think?

Seeking damage control, Obama held a carefully staged press-conference/photo-op from a museum in Chicago. I don’t know if rooms can have doppelgangers, but this one bore an uncanny resemblance to the East Room of the White House.

The staging was meticulous.

Surrounded by American flags and the flags of the military, atop a carpet of presidential blue, and from behind the closest approximation of the presidential lectern his stylists could jury-rig, Barack fielded questions and pointed his finger, looking very much the part.

They say a picture is worth a thousand words, but I guess the more important question is how much inexperience does one make up for?

Obama then introduced nine retired military leaders who universally agreed that, even in the absence of any executive experience whatsoever, the neophyte senator has the judgment and temperament necessary for the most powerful job in the world.

By comparison, Hillary has 30 such retired military officers supporting her campaign, for a grand total of 39 between the two Democrat front-runners.

Americans should be interested to know then, that according to the best estimates, there are approximately 4,661 Retired Generals and Admirals who have for various reasons not endorsed either Hillary or Barack Obama. Or to put it another way, the Democrats have garnered the endorsements of 0.8% of retired military brass — the other 99.2 percent? Eh, not so much.

Not so impressive when you put it in context.

…oh, and as to the claims that Barack is qualified to be commander in chief solely because he opposed the Iraq war from the beginning? With all due respect Generals, so did these people…

.

Just as qualified as Barack Obama



Real Hope — John McCain Style by American Elephant

Excellent new campaign ad from John McCain.

This election is about many important issues — the economy, health care, energy, etc… All of them vital, all of which Republicans have better answers for than Democrats.

But John McCain reminds us that there is one issue more important than all the rest. He reminds us that real hope does not come from turning your back on reality and wishing it away. Real hope can never come from surrender. Real hope comes when you face the challenges the world presents you, when you have prepared yourself for them, and when you then put everything you have into overcoming them:

America, the last, best hope.

“We will never surrender — they will!”

Support John McCain for President.

(h/t Black Five)



The Big Winner Between Hillary and Obama? …John McCain by American Elephant

John and Cindy McCain

The big winner in the fight for the Democrat nomination is John McCain.

The months and weeks ahead are going to get increasingly messy between Hillary and Obama as they each scramble to get/maintain the momentum into the convention. Hillary will try to get Florida and Michigan seated at the convention, with the old stand-by, “Every vote should count!” Obama will try to prevent them from being seated, and if he loses that battle, then he will push for a new vote in those states which Hillary will try to prevent. Democrat voters will hopefully see that the same party that called for “every vote to count” in 2000 is now fighting to prevent their votes from counting. (Republicans should work to ensure voters see this).

Democrats will become increasingly divided. Hopefully bitterly so. There will be name calling and accusations. They will spend millions trying to destroy each other.

In other words, it will truly be a beautiful, joyous thing. (wipes tear from eye)

And while this is going on, John McCain will be defining his opponents to the voters, explaining why his policies are better, and getting everything in place for the general election.

A brokered Democrat convention is almost ensured. The media may have given Obama all the kid-glove treatment he is going to get. It is entirely possible that the Obamafad could pass by convention-time and even though he is sure to have more of the “popular vote”, Hillary may have all the momentum going into the convention. If this happens, the super-delegates may very well put Hillary over the top. (Can you imagine if Hillary wins the nomination even though Obama won more of the popular vote? Oh the schadenfreude!)

The point is, that Democrats wont even know who their candidate is until the convention. And if Obama and Hillary don’t form a unity ticket, the Democrat party may become bitterly divided. If they do, they may enjoy a bump in the polls from it, but the Republican convention is after the Democrats and would likely destroy any bump they get, and serve McCain very well.

I don’t make predictions, these are just my thoughts and some possibilities.



New Data Puts “Global Warming” On Ice by American Elephant

Penguins Take Over the World

The Earth warmed a tiny bit, in the recent past — for a while. This much we know (assuming measurements are accurate), but pretty much everything else “global warming” proponents claim is a mixture of theory and completely debunked horsehockey.

We do know that the Earth has warmed. Indeed, it has a long history of warming and cooling — but we do not know that the Earth will continue to warm. Environmentalists thought we knew. Al Gore tells us it is “scientific consensus” and therefore beyond debate. Unfortunately for Al, as with flat-Earth and geocentric theories, facts often have a pesky tendency to prove scientific consensus not only wrong, but meaningless.

Last December, a new study was published in the Royal Meteorological Society’s International Journal of Climatology to deafening media silence, that proves the computer models, upon which scientists are basing all their predictions of warming, do not work. When they entered in historic climate data — measurements from the past that we know to be accurate — the computer models completely failed to predict today’s current climate conditions. If they can’t predict the present, they most certainly can’t predict the future.

So now we are back to square one. We don’t know if the Earth will continue to warm, or if it will stay the same, or if it will get cooler.

But there are some new facts that you should bear in mind.

First, the globe hasn’t warmed since 2000. Contrary to environmentalists’ claims, global temperature has remained pretty much the same since 2001.

Secondly, the polar ice-caps are not disappearing as Al Gore told us. Not only has the Arctic ice-cap returned to its previous size, and is actually thicker than before, the antarctic ice cap is nearly one-third bigger than normal! So you can quit losing sleep worrying about penguins and polar bears.

Also, new data from the U.S. National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) confirms that, like much of the rest of the hemisphere, this winter has been colder than normal:

Snow cover over North America and much of Siberia, Mongolia and China is greater than at any time since 1966.

The U.S. National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) reported that many American cities and towns suffered record cold temperatures in January and early February. According to the NCDC, the average temperature in January “was -0.3 F cooler than the 1901-2000 (20th century) average.”

China is surviving its most brutal winter in a century. Temperatures in the normally balmy south were so low for so long that some middle-sized cities went days and even weeks without electricity because once power lines had toppled it was too cold or too icy to repair them.

There have been so many snow and ice storms in Ontario and Quebec in the past two months that the real estate market has felt the pinch as home buyers have stayed home rather than venturing out looking for new houses.

In just the first two weeks of February, Toronto received 70 cm of snow, smashing the record of 66.6 cm for the entire month set back in the pre-SUV, pre-Kyoto, pre-carbon footprint days of 1950. [read more]

Now, as the article states, one winter does not a trend make. But it is important to note that this years’ unusually cold winter, and the lack of any significant warming over the past seven years, fly in the face of everything Al Gore and the envirowhackos have been telling us.

And an increasingly large number of scientists are standing up and questioning the global warming mantra,

Last month, Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, shrugged off manmade climate change as “a drop in the bucket.” Showing that solar activity has entered an inactive phase, Prof. Sorokhtin advised people to “stock up on fur coats.”

He is not alone. Kenneth Tapping of our own [Canadian] National Research Council, who oversees a giant radio telescope focused on the sun, is convinced we are in for a long period of severely cold weather if sunspot activity does not pick up soon.

Don’t believe the hype. As we said last week, “It’s the Sun, Stupid!” The Earth is warming for the same reasons Mars and other planets have been shown to be simultaneously warming: the Sun does not always put out a constant amount of energy. It goes through phases of increased and decreased activity.

The idea that the Earth is going to continue to warm is not only an unproven theory, but much of what it is based on has been proven to be untrue. Not only has Earth not warmed in over 7 years, this winter has been the coldest in a long while. And as many scientists have postulated, we may be in for, or already in, a period of global cooling.

I wonder if environmentalists will insist we drive more SUVs? Somehow I doubt it.



Mild-Mannered Wednesday’s Political Hangover by American Elephant

For future reference, Super Tuesday is perhaps not the best day to spend setting up the new computer. We had a spike in traffic yesterday, people obviously looking in to see our predictions or take on which way the tsunami would wash — for which we are very grateful, and apologize for the lack of prognostication.

The reasons I didn’t post are several:

1. A bright shiny new computer with a big beautiful new monitor arrived on my doorstep and I couldn’t keep my hands off of it. (No doubt the timing of the delivery was a diabolical plot by liberals at UPS.)

2. Elephants never forget, and are therefore very insightful, but we are not, as yet, psychic, and therefore tend to shy away from predictions. And, in all seriousness…

3.  Since Rudy withdrew from the race, I have been doing a great deal of thinking and I simply hadn’t fully reached my conclusions yet. (I’ve gotten much closer, however. More on that in the next post.)

Here are  my observations of Super-Duper-Uber-Tsunami-Tuesday for what they’re worth:

First of all, if Obama wins the Democrat nomination and loses the general election — the mainstream media and the rest of the left will  gnash their teeth and tear at their hair for the next four years proclaiming how racist America is. Never mind that he is utterly unqualified — they see only his skin color, so they presume the rest of America sees only his skin color as well.

Fine.

In the interest, then, of equal standards and fair and balanced treatment, it must be said that since both Hillary and Obama are equally and utterly unqualified (the only distinctions between them being their genitalia and degree of pallor), then half the Democrat party is obviously racist and the other half blatant misogynists.

Secondly, McCain hasn’t won yet. It takes 1,191 delegates to secure the Republican Nomination. Senator McCain has only amassed 525. (The number he still needs to win? 666. Whether that’s amusingly coincidental or religiously significant is a judgement that rests far above my pay grade.)

The  longer and tighter the race between Obama and Clinton, the better for Republicans. The longer their battle lasts, the more damage they do to each other, and the more money they spend.

Both Ted Kennedy and Mr. Theresa Heinz-Kerry endorsed Obama. The media made a huge stink about the former. Yet Massachusetts went decidedly for Hillary.

Nanny Huckabee has obviously made some sort of deal with McCain. Mitt Romney was cruising toward a victory in West Virginia so McCain threw all his support behind Huckabee to prevent a Romney win. Huckabee hasn’t got a chance of getting the nomination. It is now clear he remains in the race as a spoiler for Mitt Romney.

I think its disgraceful politicking, but it just goes to further support all the claims by conservatives who have known and worked with him, that the Huckster is a mean-spirited, vengeful and corrupt politician.

Oh, and have I mentioned, this election season is far too long?



So Why Do You Want to Be President, Anyway? by The Elephant's Child

Haven’t you often wondered just what it is that impels a person to seek the office of President of the United States?  Admit it.  You have looked at one candidate or another and snickered and wondered “what were they thinking?”

There is ambition, of course, and we can all identify the candidates with burning ambition.  But what makes them think that they are up to the challenge? Do they want to do, or do they want to be?  Hillary claims vast experience, since she lived in the White House with the President — which is about as plausible as a wife replacing a retiring C.E.O.  It may have been interesting and fascinating, but it wasn’t experience, at least as we usually define experience.

John Edwards had one term in the Senate, and one campaign for Vice President, and apparently fell in love with his ‘two Americas’ theme.  Barack Obama was in the Illinois State Senate, but no sooner did he take his seat in the Senate than he began campaigning to be President, and hasn’t been in Washington much since.  Thin resumes indeed. 

 Occasionally a candidate will be selected by a group of others who seek him out and urge him to run.  But every one of the current candidates on both sides is self-selected.  This, I think, makes our job of learning about a candidate harder.  Why do they want to be President, and why should we agree?

Here’s how I think you do it.  First, go to a candidate’s website, print out what you can find under ‘Issues’ or some equivalent title, and go over it with a fine tooth comb.  Make notes.  Do they seem to know what they are talking about, or are they just pandering — promising to give you stuff if you vote for them?  Do they have a grasp of the current problems in foreign affairs?  Do they understand the current threats to the security of the United States?  This, after all, is the primary job of the President.  Do they have a clue about economics?  They can ask Congress to pass laws to accomplish other items on their to-do list, but Congress doesn’t have to agree, and probably won’t. 

Second, look carefully at who the candidate has selected as advisers.  Do these people have good resumes on their own?  Obama, for example, speaks of hope and change and unity, yet his advisers are from the Carter Administration and advised what many consider the worst presidency in history. 

Third.  Pay far less attention to the candidate’s looks, what they say on the stump (after a while they all turn into demagogues, promising goodies and avoiding the really serious questions). 

If I had my choice, I would do away with the debates.  It’s silly, waiting for someone to sweat, or get angry, or trip over his own tongue.  I’d like to see a relaxed conversation about the state of the country and the world with all the candidates and an interesting, scrupulously non-partisan host, rather than a Sunday show host who is trying to get the candidates to embarrass themselves.  No stage and lecterns, but comfortable seats around a table.  I want to get to know the candidates, not trick them into saying something they didn’t intend.  Much of the mischief on the campaign trail is committed by the media — who are ever ready to pounce on anything that might make a more interesting story.

How would you  prefer to choose a candidate?  Are you satisfied with the way we do it now?



Hillary Cried, Obama Died… by American Elephant
January 9, 2008, 5:00 am
Filed under: Politics | Tags: , ,

Apparently, I give Democrats too much credit.

I was going to write last night about how I thought Hillary’s misty moment would be her “Dean Scream” — the  over-the-top emotional display that would surely destroy whatever support she had left. That and the “Iron My Shirt” protestors who interupted her campaign rally.

Surely her supporters wouldn’t fall for these obvious plants! I mean, if they can see lies and corruption where even the 9/11 Commission can’t, then certainly they can recognize Hillary’s crocodile tears over the future of the country when she was asked a question about her hair??? Puhlease!

And even the very deepest Kool-aid drinkers would realize real protesters would denounce Hillary for her support of the war, or complain about some policy disagreement, or her laundry list of corruption? But “Iron My Shirt”???  Who in the world would take the time and effort to hand-paint signs and sneak them into a high-security rally to make themselves look stupid? No, these protesters were not real Americans, they were caricatures of what liberals think real Americans are. Straw-protesters, obviously set up for Hillary to knock down and play the victim. 

And play the victim she did! The crowd ate it up!

Ugh.

So apparently I have grossly underestimated Democrat voters ability to fall for even the most blatantly phony theatrics! In one day Hillary went from trailing Oprahbama by double digits, to an unexpected victory in the New Hampshire primary.

What a bunch of suckers!

But then I forget, these are people who think “Dare to Hope” isn’t just a cheesy platitude, a Hallmark sentiment — somehow they believe it’s something much more than just empty, meaningless, saccharine tripe.

Lord, help us!

But be warned! Prepare yourselves… Hillary’s stunts worked, therefore, you will be seeing a LOT more of them. More tears, more plants, and an extra-heavy helping of victimhood from the Democrat campaign trail, especially from the Clinton camp.

It’s going to be a very long, very nauseating campaign.



And She Calls Herself Experienced??? by American Elephant
December 30, 2007, 3:49 am
Filed under: Foreign Policy, Politics | Tags: ,

Hillary Showcases Foreign Relations Incompetence

Hillary showcases not experience, but incompetence in response to the assassination of Benazir Bhutto. John at Powerline, as he so often does, has it exactly right:

Hillary Clinton’s response to the murder is far worse. She gave an interview in Des Moines in which she attacked Musharraf’s government and called for an international inquiry:

“I’m calling for a full, independent, international investigation,” Clinton said in an interview with CNN.”I think it’s critically important that we get answers and really those are due first and foremost to the people of Pakistan,” Clinton said.

The former first lady suggested the probe could be along the lines of the international investigation that followed the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri in 2005.

“I don’t think the Pakistani government at this time under President (Pervez) Musharraf has any credibility at all. They have disbanded an independent judiciary, they oppressed a free press.”

This is, I think, shocking. It is hard to see how an American presidential candidate could say anything more inappropriate and destructive. Calling for an “international investigation” is a crude insult to the sovereignty of an American ally. Worse, Clinton’s suggestion that President Musharraf–an ally of the United States, and perhaps the only viable alternative, at the moment, to Taliban-like rule–has no credibility to carry out the investigation, is precisely the kind of arrogant meddling in other countries’ affairs of which Democrats like to accuse the Bush administration, falsely. [Read the rest.]

Incompetent.



Democrats’ Iraq Disaster by American Elephant

Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi

Democrats oppose the war in Iraq. We all know that…now.

They were for it — when it was going well — when it was popular. But when the going got tough, as it always does in war, Democrats saw an opportunity — Democrats got going.

They campaigned in ’06 promising to change direction in Iraq. They refused to say what that new direction would be, but when they won, they nevertheless claimed a mandate to pull out of Iraq.

The problem that has arisen for Democrats since then is that America has changed course in Iraq — things have gotten dramatically better on the ground, Iraqis are joining with America to fight terrorists and insurgents alike, Iraqis who had fled are returning in droves, and violence of all kinds has dropped exponentially.

In other words, thanks to President Bush and General Petraeus, the man Democrats smeared as a liar and betrayer of the nation, we are winning! And Democrats have fought that victory kicking and screaming every step of the way.

Now the Democrats are pinning all their hopes on the heretofore “lack of political reconciliation” in Iraq. (This from the party that has blocked desperately needed energy policy, social security, healthcare and other reforms for seven years.)  But the idea that America should leave an increasingly peaceful Iraq to descend into chaos, dragging the greater middle east with it because Iraqi politicians are guilty of being not even as viciously partisan as Democrats, will never fly with the American people. Nor should it.

I have little doubt now that Iraqi leaders will work out their differences. Not simply because reports suggest that that is precisely what is going on behind the scenes, but because they must. The Iraqi people have shown by joining the fight, that they will not accept anything less.

The fact is that Democrats have completely boxed themselves in.

They have proven with their opportunistic vacillating that they are unfit to command the nation’s defenses. National security requires strength and resolve. Democrats have exposed themselves as weak and untrustworthy.

They long ago declared the increasingly successful war, “lost”. They have since done nearly everything in their power to bring about that result. They branded the highly successful surge a “failure”.

President Bush and Republicans are on the way to turning an avowed enemy of the United States with the capability to produce and disperse WMD into a moderate democracy and ally to America.

Democrats will never be able to claim any responsibility for success in Iraq — they are long past the point of no return on that flip-flop. And most importantly, the American people will hold them responsible for trying their best to scuttle it.

“Kharma” is coming for the Democrats, and it’s not happy.



So Much for THAT Narrative! by American Elephant

Hillary Clinton

Those rascally reporters in the “mainstream” media have been working double-time to convince us for over a year now that ’08 is a lock — you may as well stay home, because Americans hate Republicans and will never, ever, ever elect one ever, ever again!

Many Republicans were even falling for it.

Not so fast.

Forget for a moment that the top Democrat candidates are all completely inexperienced, unqualified boobs. Forget also that their current front-runner has a track-record of corruption ten times the length of her resume. And remember that the media always tell us the election is the Democrat’s to lose. Both Al-Gore and John Heinz-Kerry were at one point or another inevitable victors according to the liberal media.

But wishful thinking is no substitute for factual reporting no matter how much the beltway propaganda-slingers wish it were so.

The conventional wisdom is horse-hockey.

The latest Zogby poll shows her thighness, Hillary Rodham, losing to all top 5 Republican contenders. Not just Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney, but John McCain, Fred Thompson and even Nanny Huckabee.

The more Americans see the Democrat party, the less they like what they see.

I have been saying for some time now that Democrats will not nominate Hillary. I have suspected that they will panic, decide she is unelectable, and throw her under the proverbial, unionized, bus. This poll, I think, makes that possibility more likely.



2008, The Return of the Republicans by American Elephant

Rudy Giuliani and John McCain

Jim Geraghty at National Review makes a point that I’ve been increasingly realizing of late: 2008 is not 2006. And despite the the mainstream media’s propaganda-blitz to the contrary — Democrats are not a shoo-in for the Presidency or even to hold onto congress.

Remember, after all, how Democrats came to power — no progress was being made in Iraq, the media was pushing wall-to-wall Tom Foley coverage, the conservative base was demoralized, and in perhaps the biggest pot-calling-the-kettle-black moment of all time, Democrats were promising to clean up the so-called, “culture of corruption.”

Instead, Democrats have taken more trips funded by lobbyists than Republicans, have spent billions more on earmarks than Republicans, and have spent the last 8-9 months usurping powers that the constitution does not grant them (commander in chief, foreign policy, administration hiring, etc.), trying to sabotage their country in wartime, and abusing their powers to launch over 300 investigations that have discovered absolutely zero wrongdoing and to try to legislate themselves into a permanent majority (amnesty, union card-check, “fairness” doctrine).

This doesn’t even account for the fact that Democrats seem dead-set on nominating the most corrupt presidential candidate since, well, her husband. A woman who is married to an impeached president, who appointed an impeached federal judge to lead her campaign, and who is getting her national-security advice from a man who stole and destroyed top-secret documents to cover-up the incompetence, negligence and corruption of her husband’s administration. Indeed, Democrats seem hell-bent on nominating her despite the fact that we seem to be picking up with the Clintons right where we left off  — with them taking illegal campaign contributions from the Chinese!

No, 2008 is anything but a lock for Democrats.

Remember also that the American people elected Democrats to make things better, and poll after poll shows Americans approve less of the Democrat controlled congress than they ever did the Republican congress. Indeed, under Nancy Pelosi (Quinnipiac favorability rating: 22%) and Harry Reid (Quinnipiac favorability rating: 9%), this congress has marked the lowest approval ratings ever recorded. Compared to Democrat congressional leaders, President Bush’s Quinnipiac approval rating of 35% is downright stratospheric.

And then there is the Democrat agenda, which is increasingly at odds with the American people’s wishes.

Hillary just stepped in it big-time because she couldn’t come out and admit that she supports givng drivers licenses to illegal immigrants. Why couldn’t she? Because voters oppose giving illegals drivers licenses by more than a 3 to 1 margin.

Charlie Rangel, chair of the House Ways and Means Committee, and the Democrat presidential candidates themselves have made it crystal clear that electing Democrats will guarantee monumental new tax-hikes.

Keep in mind also, that the surge in Iraq keeps working better and better. So much so that the GAO has declared it an official “trend,” and Democrats have opposed this winning strategy with gnashing teeth and slashing claws. And that Democrats, by playing to their pacifist base by denouncing military action against Iran have all-but promised they will practically give nuclear weapons to the mad-mullahs. This just after national polls show a majority of Americans would support military action to prevent the terrorist nation from going nuclear.

And finally, my fellow elephants, the “conventional wisdom” — which I think is neither conventional nor wise — that Democrats have 2008 locked up flies in the face of recent electoral history:

After the 1994 landslide “Gingrich Revolution,” Republicans thought Bill Clinton’s defeat in ’96 was all but a done-deal. Americans thought different. Defeated, they decided they weren’t going to do well in 98 and as such, some strong candidates decided it wasn’t the year to run. But the GOP did well in 98 and could have done even better had they not been so timid.

And Republicans are forgetting perhaps the most important point of all — that the media and the polls always say the Democrats are poised to win the next election when its this far out. Al Gore and John Kerry enjoyed the same type of early hype. But the closer the election gets, the more the American people are forced to examine the choice they are being offered, and in 2008 that contrast could be starker than ever. Democrats are almost unabashedly running a platform of socialism and retreat in the war on terror.

As Geraghty says,

Next year could be a surprisingly good one for the GOP, though it’s clearly not guaranteed. The party will need good candidate recruitment, message discipline, a clear, unifying agenda, and a bit of good luck. [read the whole thing]

But the 2008 election is hardly guaranteed to be the, “Democratic-Tsunami Part Two,” that the media are portraying it is destined to be.

I would also add that Republicans need to quit feeling gloomy, quit listening to the media and start contributing and volunteering. If we do those things, I think we stand a very good chance of not only holding our own, but doing very well indeed.

I think liberals are quite possibly in for a very rude awakening in November, 2008. And personally, I look forward to it most enthusiastically.




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