American Elephants

COP24: Climate Crisis Not Accepted. Lack of Scientific Rigor! by The Elephant's Child


Paul Driessen, a senior policy adviser for CFact, wrote at wattsupwiththat:

The 30,000 alarmists gathered in Katowice, Poland expected to slam-dunk their report proclaiming a planet-threatening climate crisis, finalize rules for implementing the Paris accords, redistribute infinite billions of dollars from industrialized nations to “climate victim” countries, and solidify their control over people’s energy, jobs, living standards and liberties. It didn’t work out quite that way.

They got blindsided by millions of French citizens angrily denouncing their government’s plans to carbon-tax them into worse poverty and joblessness. They were furious that the US exhibit profiled the benefits of fossil fuels – and outraged that the United States, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait were willing to “note” the climate report and express appreciation to the scientists who developed it, but not to “welcome” it or “accept” its assertions about climate cataclysms and the need to slash fossil fuel use.

The UN’s IPCC’s Special Report on 1.5º C. was not welcomed at COP24, but subject to significant controversy for its lack of scientific rigor. Anthony Watts remarked  a while back that 1.2º C – 2.2º C is the warming one could expect on most spring days between 10 am and noon.

Economist Stephen Moore commented at Investor’s Business Daily that “The first iron rule of American politics is: Follow the money. This explains about 80% of what goes on in Washington. He added that one reason so many hundreds of scientists are persuaded that the sky is falling is that they are paid handsomely to do so.”

I said, “In America and around the globe governments have created a multibillion-dollar climate change industrial complex.” And then I added: “A lot of people are getting really, really rich off of the climate change industry.” According to a recent report by the U.S. Government Accountability Office, “Federal funding for climate change research, technology, international assistance, and adaptation has increased from $2.4 billion in 1993 to $11.6 billion in 2014, with an additional $26.1 billion for climate change programs and activities provided by the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act in 2009.”

This is not meant to suggest that climate scientists are dishonest, but only that federal grants have become available and computers and labs enhanced, sometimes even with assistants – for those who are studying climate science. and a lot more professors are studying climate science.

Right now we seem to be in a cooling phase, as the sun has fewer sunspots. Our sun does have some influence on climate, as does CO² – carbon dioxide, what we exhale (and a natural fertilizer for plants), not carbon, which is a solid. Other things we don’t understand well are the effect of water vapor (or clouds) in the atmosphere, and the effect of the warming and cooling in the movement of ocean currents.

Some people want to believe in catastrophe, the “true believers”, who simply believe and are sure we must do something right now or we’re all gonna die. See the microphone loving Alexandria Occasio-Cortez and her push for a “green new deal.”

Part of the problem in understanding is that a lot of the folks studying climate believed that they could put the climate into a computer program and play out various scenarios and get real answers about future warming like stock market people did in forecasting what the financial markets would do.  You have probably noticed that in the last week or so. We had thermometers stationed all over our country, but we learned that they were situated next to air-conditioner exhausts, or the reflective heat from concrete walls or airport runways, and were totally unreliable evidence of temperature.

Al Gore is not an expert, even if he made a movie and got rich. The Heritage Foundation just noted that he had hailed the city of Georgetown, Texas for powering itself with only wind and solar energy, and now the city is losing millions on it’s green energy gamble. Their bet against fossil fuel prices cost the city-owned utility nearly $7 million and the city is trying to find a way out of their long term contracts.

The problem with wind and solar is not in the turbines or the solar cells, but in the wind and the sunshine. Wind is intermittent. It does not blow steadily. That is the nature of wind, not something that can be fixed. Sunlight is diffuse at best. Clouds. There are days and days here in the Northwest when it rains, or is just cloudy. The rain can be predicted, sometimes, but clouds can’t. They re constantly moving. What that means is that wind and solar have to have constant backup with conventional power from hydropower or fossil fuel powered power plants, or nuclear energy. Our society requires massive amounts of energy, or perhaps you want your heart surgery to stop halfway through because the wind stopped blowing.  It’s a little more complicated than the young Ms. Ocasio-Cortez understands.

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