American Elephants


Panic-Button Time: The Paris Climate Pact Would Reduce Temperature by An Imperceptible Amount in 100 Years by The Elephant's Child

Kopie-von-IMG_1172President Obama is in Paris, a city still reeling from the deadly recent terror attacks, for the start of an eleven-day conference in which the promoters are hoping to get more than 130 world leaders to pledge support for an ambitious climate change agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and try to slow the earth’s rising temperatures.

During a White House ceremony in August, Obama spoke of his drive to reduce utility plant carbon emissions (shut down coal-fired power plants) as part of a larger global struggle to preserve the environment and avert catastrophic weather and public health problems and economic chaos. He cited some of the toughest challenges his administration has faced, including the Great Recession and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Bang-up job with those, Mr. President, and right on track to make a mess of this one too. “No challenge poses a greater threat to our future than a changing climate.” Sigh.

That’s the mindset that the president takes to Paris. Au contraire. Carbon is not a pollutant. It is one of the building blocks of life. We are carbon life forms, and we exhale carbon dioxide. Carbon dioxide is a natural fertilizer in the cycle of life, and is taken up by plants in the process called photosynthesis. We learned that in high school biology. The plants exhale oxygen…surely you remember. And the small amounts of increased CO2 have meant a greening earth, able to feed greeningmore people. Catastrophic weather is not climate. We have been living in a period remarkably free of major hurricanes. Climate is always changing. It has been far warmer in the past, and the Medieval Warm Period was the best weather known to man.

We had a Little Ice Age — 500 years of colder weather from around 1300 to 1850. The Vikings gave up their farms in Greenland. The Scots had a period of mass starvation. 1816 in the U.S. was called “the year without a summer.” Since around 1850 the earth has been gradually warming. People and animals adapt.

The catastrophic warming that the president is so frightened of occurs only in the computer climate models of the IPCC, and it has been well established that they cannot predict today’s climate. There are too many things we just don’t know to accurately predict future weather, any more than we can accurately predict terrorist attacks in Paris.

Bjorn Lomborg, PhD is an expert in statistics, and just published a peer reviewed article investigating the temperature reduction impact of major climate policy proposals using the standard MAGICC climate model. Even assuming that the promised cuts are maintained, the impacts are small. They will do little to stabilize the climate and the impact will be undetectable for many decades. The Paris COP21 commitments with every nation fulfilling every promise by 2030, the total temperature reduction will be 0.048ºC (0.306ºF) by 2100. Can you possibly adapt? The president has actually called it the greatest threat to our national security. The military must be quaking in their boots. But after his visit to Alaska last summer (to see the melting glaciers) the president did, oddly, see the need for new icebreakers and promised the Coast Guard he would push for them.

Arctic and Antarctic ice grows in the winter and melts some in the summer. Greenies see only the melting and deny the increase. Back in July, the CCGS Amundsen, a Medium Arctic icebreaker and Arctic research vessel operated by the Canadian Coast Guard traveling in Hudson Bay was rerouted to help ships stuck in the ice. An expedition to study the effects of global warming was put on hold — they were stuck in the ice.

Today, Dr. S. Fred Singer wrote in the American Thinker ∼of how solar observers predict a “Little Ice Age” to arrive before 2100. A slightly warmer climate can be extremely beneficial, but cold can kill. He discusses the problems that might face us with a colder climate, and how we can deal with them.




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