American Elephants


A Little Bit About Covid-19 by The Elephant's Child
October 4, 2020, 3:04 am
Filed under: Politics | Tags:

The purpose and use of a mask to protect from the Covid-19 virus is much misunderstood. The mask prevents the wearer’s coughs or sneezes from reaching other people. It is contained within the mask. They do not necessarily protect the wearer from the coughs or sneezes of others. They protect other people from your exhalations, their masks protect you from them. That is my understanding, from what I read at the CDC website, which you can reach at cdc.gov.

Dr. Anthony Fauci has been adamant that everyone should wear a mask, yet a great many lost all confidence in him when he was photographed at a crowded baseball game — without a mask, clearly enjoying the chance to be attending a game. Double check me, please at the CDC website, and at your State’s health department, or wherever you can get the best information.

There is also a lot of misdirection about getting the virus from things such as packages from Amazon, deliveries from the grocery store, the mail? Must one assume that any new object coming into your house is a potential carrier of disease? From what I read, it’s simply unclear.

There was great consternation when President Trump added Dr. Scott Atlas to his team, because he was not an epidemiologist. However, Dr. Atlas is not only a fellow at the Hoover Institution, but has been studying the statistics from every other country on their experiences and successes and failures and has become quite expert in the reality out there.

I am certainly not any kind of expert. I just read a lot. The disease is new, we don’t know much about it for sure, and we are trying to learn at warp speed. Governor Cuomo’s dreadful experience in New York City when he recommended putting elderly patients into senior care homes, in the somewhat reasonable view that they were more skilled at taking care of old folks, ended up as a catastrophe, and New York City became the hot spot for Covid death in the country. Cuomo is still trying to avoid any blame for his mistake.

We don’t know enough about this virus, and are still wandering about in a forest of ideas without any guidance as to what the correct answers are. Try to understand how little we know and how hard it is to find real facts. There are a number of people working at the White House, or on the campaigns who have now tested positive, which means they will get care and treatment, which is good. Information, dependable tested information, is the most needed quantity, and we can do without all the posturing and pronouncements, most especially from Hollywood “celebrities”.

A “celebrity” is someone whose name you might recognize, for one reason or another. For news websites, they are “click-bait” which means simply that you might click on their article if you recognize the name. Hollywood “celebrities” used to spend heavily on press agents to get their names in the papers, because that’s how you got to be a “celebrity”. Now they just try to say something fairly outrageous, which the news sites will pick up, and first thing you know they have some name recognition and they are a real “celebrity” and people will click on their names, and they become a more “important” celebrity. Do not encourage this! We already have way too much of it.

Study up. Recognize how little our experts know, and protect yourselves by being as informed as you can. That will result in saved lives, maybe even your own.



How Deep Is the Ocean? by The Elephant's Child

Do watch this handsome video, not long and utterly fascinating. Much that I did not know. If you notice some heat somewhere in the depths, Liberals have decided that the heat that was destroying our planet and has vanished, has gone to hide in the ocean. That’s why we had a March for Science on Saturday, because they are learning that they need some? Nah, probably not.  Very nicely done.



What We Don’t Know and the Precautionary Principle. by The Elephant's Child


This dandy little diagram came. I believe, from Dr. Roy Spencer, who tries to emphasize what we know about the climate.  The great vast part of the circle of climate knowledge is what we don’t know that we don’t know about climate. (see Donald Rumsfeld)

That small bright blue wedge represents the sum total of our knowledge. It is on this small percentage of knowledge that we and other western industrialized countries have decided to transform our economies. We have just learned that the fabled “greenhouse effect” and the vast dangers of the earth heating up because of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are largely hooey, but billions and billions have been spent to reduce the amount of CO2 escaping into the atmosphere. Why?

It is on that basis that the president has attempted to keep us from using our own natural resources of oil and gas by refusing to issue drilling permits, by putting the coastlines of the eastern United States, the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and the west coast and the coast of Alaska off limits to drilling for the next seven years.  Those efforts have contributed significantly to the soaring 9.2% unemployment rate. The administration is busily choosing winners and losers, something governments don’t know how to do.

It is on the basis of that small blue wedge that the president is promoting electric cars, which Americans don’t want, and doubling CAFE standards in a move that automakers cannot meet.

Master Resource notes that:

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Loan Programs Office (LPO) is offering guaranteed financing to First Solar Inc. for three solar panel projects in California for $4.5 billion.  Carefully analyzed, these projects do little to fund efficient energy production or create permanent jobs.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) notes that in 2010 only 1% of energy consumption was from solar power. Yet 15 out of the 23 generation LPO projects have been for solar power plants. The cost of these 15 projects has been $16 billion–40 percent of the total cost of all guaranteed projects.

A previous $1.6 billion guarantee for a solar panel project, Bright Source Energy, produced 1,000 temporary construction jobs and 86 permanent jobs. That’s $18.6 million per permanent job.

And in another piece:

The U.S. wind market, which has relied on public funding since its inception in the 1970s, has a long trail of false expectations and broken promises.

The wind industry has promised to meet U.S. electricity needs, claiming that wind power could supply 20% of all needs by 1995.  Today wind energy delivers about 2% of the U.S. electricity market.Promises of reduced costs, improved performance and job creating have proved false.  It seems that wind will perpetually be an “infant industry,” perpetually demanding support, and the public has not done enough to create a market for it.

Billions and billions, all based on a very small amount of knowledge about a very large subject.  Possibly we should consider that we can adapt to such changes as we have seen. And that we simply don’t know enough to be investing so much in what may be absolutely futile.

This is government by Precautionary Principle.  It states that if an action or a policy has a suspected risk of causing harm to the public or to the environment, in the absence of scientific proof that the policy or action is harmful, the burden of proof  that it is not harmful falls on those taking the action.  This is nonsense, and falls in the same category as proving a negative.

We are leaving Iraq and Afghanistan in 2014, therefore there will be no more wars and we can cut billions from the defense budget, because we simply don’t need all those planes and ships and silly equipment.  Or you can make up your own example of unfortunate administration thinking.




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