American Elephants


The Attempt to Control Is Becoming Pervasive by The Elephant's Child

An interesting search. I wanted to know the precise new title and agency for Dr. William Happer, appointed as a new science advisor in the Trump administration. He is a world-renowned physicist, Princeton University emeritus professor, and a splendid choice. Couldn’t find it at all. The first 6 pages on Bing and even on Duck Duck Go (the one that doesn’t track you) are given over to sources like Vox and Think Progress to claim that he is a prominent denier, Nazi, and to Bill Nye, the Science Guy, to insult Dr. Happer, with headlines like Bill Nye “Destroys” William Happer.

Bill Nye, Science Guy, is not a scientist. He has an
undergraduate degree in mechanical engineering.
That’s it. He is not an authority on anything. He is a
television personality.

I am a confirmed skeptic about global warming because I grew up outdoors in the mountains of Idaho. You will find that rural people who interact with the natural world every day are not terrified of global warming.  They leave that to Hollywood celebrities and city apartment people. I was an English major and I read. A lot.

Never did find Dr. Happer’s proper title in the Trump administration. on the 7th page on two search engines, I found Climate Depot, Powerline and the Cato Institute at numbers 72, 73, and 74. That seems to be a good indication of the attempt to suppress conservative thought. I think you will find this pretty common across all search engines, It’s common among newspapers and magazines, but those are clearly declining industries. You’re familiar with media reaction to being called “fake news” by the president.

Now we have a report from Chris Horner at CEI about the climate advisers in the governors’ offices, at least Washington’s Jay Inslee, California’s Jerry Brown and New York’s Andrew Cuomo who advise them on steps to take to tax carbon, attack oil companies, and in the case of Jerry Brown to put up his own climate satellite. It’s getting scary out there.

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All About Global Warming Skepticism for Busy People by The Elephant's Child

Dr. Roy W. Spencer has a new Kindle book: Global Warming Skepticism for Busy People is meant as a concise and accessible summary of his skeptical views on global warming. After a year or more of thinking and writing, this new Kindle book is meant to fill that need.

32,000 words and 40 high-res illustrations, he says it is more comprehensive than his previous Kindle books, but still readable in about 2 to 3 hours. The book is not meant to cover all of the skeptical views out there, but everything that he believes is most important to the global warming and energy policy debate.

He adds Maybe the best way to summarize what is in the book is to list the chapter titles:

Preface
1. Overview of the Reasons for Skepticism
2. The Five Big Questions
3. Skepticism versus Alarmism
4. The Unholy Alliance: Politics and Science
5. How Could 97% of Scientists Be Wrong?
6. What is the Greenhouse Effect?
7. What Causes Temperature Change?
8. The Good News about Increasing CO2
9. The U.N. IPCC Consensus: Government-Funded Biased Science
10. Climate Models Exaggerate Recent Warming
11. Warming since the 1800s Suggests Climate Models are Too Sensitive
12. How the Reliance on IPCC Climate Models Affects You
13. Why is Warming Not Progressing as Predicted?
14. Refuting Common Climate Delusions
Conclusions

He adds:That last chapter is where I refute the frequent media claims about worsening heatwaves, wildfires, droughts, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, weather-related disaster losses, sea level rise, sea ice melt, ice sheet collapse, and ocean acidification.

I consider this my most complete treatment of the subject in one place, with my latest position on a variety of subjects. I have references to some of the latest findings and events of interest — as recent as September 3, 2018. I’ve included hyperlinks where appropriate so that readers can easily investigate my claims for themselves.

I hope you find it entertaining and informative. And, again, I am open to suggestions for material I might have missed… keeping in mind I am not aiming for the most exhaustive treatment of global warming skepticism, but the most effective one.

        ———————

I have not read it yet, but it sounds like a very good deal to me (and inexpensive). I have been following Dr. Spencer and Dr. John Christy for years, and have great respect for their work and their explanations of the science.



Governor Jerry Brown Had a Big Climate Event! by The Elephant's Child

California Governor Jerry Brown has announced that California will launch it’s very “own damn climate satellite” into orbit to battle climate change. State officials will work with San Francisco-based company Planet Labs to develop a satellite to track climate-change causing pollutants. “With science still under attack and the climate threat growing, we’re launching our own damn satellite,” he said. Radical Climatistas jetted in to San Francisco in their private jets for the 3-Day Big Climate Conference, where Brown announced his next big thing.

The Democrat governor, who is leaving office at the end of the year, did not announce a launch date or divulge a cost estimate.

Before Brown’s announcement, two prominent Democrats and a Republican mayor criticized Trump for his decision to withdraw the United States from the landmark Paris climate accord.

“While Donald Trump may have pulled out of the climate agreement, the American people have not,” former Secretary of State John Kerry said, opening the second day of the Global Climate Action Summit.

Kerry, also a Democrat, called Trump’s decision “the single greatest act of irresponsibility of any president of the United States at any time.”

Trump announced in June 2017 the United States’ intention to pull out of the international agreement, which Kerry signed while serving as President Barack Obama’s secretary of state. The 195 countries that signed the treaty agreed to commit resources to combating climate change.

Former Vice-President Al Gore followed Kerry to speak, and said that it’s difficult to deny than climate change is causing more severe weather but that “It’s a little harder to deny the 3,000 deaths from the hurricane in Puerto Rico.”

Governor Brown  has signed into law one of the most radical pieces of climate legislation ever, as SB-100, it commits the state of California to produce all of its electricity from alternative sources by 2040, which will happen only with a major scientific advance. Wind and solar cannot possibly support the state’s energy needs, so with current technology that means building a lot more nuclear plants in an earthquake-prone state. The result will be soaring energy costs, increasing poverty in a state that already has the highest poverty rate in the nation, and lower living standards for all. The state is home to a third of all the U.S. welfare recipients, with the most billionaires.

People are moving out of California in droves, a net 140,000 per year are heading for other states, half of them middle class or higher, and of child-bearing age. California seems to be home to large numbers of scientific illiterates. I don’t really understand all these people who do not do their homework. If someone tells you the earth is ending or the sky is falling it would seem to be a good idea to find out if it is actually true.

Harrison Ford was one of the Hollywood types who jetted up to be a part of Governor Brown’s 3-day whoop-de-do in San Francisco for far-left climatistas.

“While you work to meet the challenge of climate change, I beg of you—don’t forget nature. Because today, the destruction of nature accounts for more global emissions than all the cars and trucks in the world.”

“We face an unprecedented moment in this country. Today’s greatest threat is not climate change, not pollution, not flood or fire. It’s that we’ve got people in charge of important shit who don’t believe in science.”

Harrison Ford also castigated politicians like Trump, whose “political or economic self-interest denigrate or belittle sound scientific understanding of the causes and effects of human pressure on the environment.”

I wonder what he has in mind as the “destruction of nature” when the Earth is greening and food crops and forests alike are growing vigorously because of the slight amount of greater CO² in the atmosphere. And where does he get his loony ideas about climate? He clearly does not keep up with the science. He’s responding to climate propaganda without ever questioning it. along with Al Gore and Leo Di Caprio.

There’s no end to the catastrophe that our media has in for us as the result of climate change. Did you realize that climate change is threatening the world’s supply of coffee beans? Conditions for growing coffee would no longer be suitable, and plagues and pestilences will destroy the crops.  You’d have to change to tea.  And look what the media claimed!



Three Failed Governors Getting Together To Make Matters Worse! by The Elephant's Child

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LifeZette’s headline: “Privately Funded Government Jobs Advance Left’s Climate Agenda.” The invaluable Chris Horner at CEI details how three governors (Jerry Brown,  Andrew Cuomo, and Jay Inslee) who have managed to make a mess of the states they have been running, are using activist donor money to bypass their legislatures. The CEI report details a budget of $10 million in donor money for 2018 and $25 million in 2019.

Another new report exposes Global Warming “Law Enforcement for Rent”. Donors are paying for lawyers to pursue environmental cases by state Attorney Generals. This is another brief summary of Chris Horner’s work. If you find this somewhat alarming, you may want to review Chris Horner’s actual work, which is very long but readily available at CEI.org.

The environmental movement has long had advisors in the governors offices offering help with good programs to introduce, conference calls with other governors who are doing the same “good work”, good publicity, that sort of thing. This seems to be something different and more alarming.

The globe has been warming and cooling for millions of years, and has actually cooled a bit recently. Hurricanes are not caused by global warming. The amount of CO² in the atmosphere is helping plants to grow, including our forests, because CO² is a natural fertilizer. Helps food crops as well, which is relieving hunger across the world. Alarmist global warming exists only in the computer programs devised by climate scientists who want government grants and new equipment and assume that they can create in a computer a program that prophecies the future climate of the world. They can’t. If you want the real climate, consult Dr. Roy Spencer, who runs the satellites that actually measure the temperatures of the world, with Dr. John Christy at University of Alabama at Huntsville.

Christiana Figueres, who was general secretary of the UN’s Framework Convention of Climate Change spilled the beans in February of 2015, when she earnestly explained that the goal of environmental activists was not to save the world from ecological calamity—but to destroy Capitalism.

Fairly recently, we were told that although there was no Russian collusion in the presidential campaign, the Russians were investing a lot to support environmental cases against fracking and natural gas in the U.S. in particular. Russia is very dependent on the money they get from selling their natural gas to Europe, and they don’t want any competition, either from fracking, or from U.S. sales of natural gas so if they can encourage environmentalists who want to file lawsuits, they’re there to help.



The Abundance of Life on Earth by The Elephant's Child

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The Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) released a report last week about the Endangered Species Act (1973).  It has been one of those “feel good”laws that makes residents of big cities feel noble about protecting the wildlife of the world. Zoos have found that trying to preserve threatened species with breeding in zoos has meant more interest from the public and more financial support. And the world’s zoos have had some success. The costs of the Endangered Species Act are huge — easily in the tens of billions and probably in the hundreds of billions. The accomplishments are very questionable.

Many species which were thought to be endangered aren’t. We just weren’t looking in the right place (Polar bears, Emperor penguins, Canadian Caribou herds). Ardent environmentalists are known to search for a species that they can call “endangered” to prevent the building of a project they don’t like. In this case it was a beetle that could prevent the Keystone pipeline. Farmers and ranchers have been known to shoot species found on their land lest government regulations make their property unusable and unsalable. The court has ruled that Congress intended for federally endangered species to be saved “whatever the cost” in the case of California’s snail darter. A green light for the bureaucracy is part of what created “the swamp.”

Wild animals usually try to avoid people as much as possible, and they’re good at it. If there seems to be none here, it does not mean that there are not some on the other side of the mountain. I live in Bellevue, Washington, a Seattle suburb with a 2016 population of over 141,400 that is building “affordable housing” everywhere, in the form of high-rise apartments. I think they are transforming a leafy city into Shanghai. This morning a neighbor complained online about a bobcat in her yard early. Anyone that drives home late at night will see coyotes and bunnies. (the rabbits explain the coyotes).

I grew up on 400 acres in the foothills of the Rockies, and our property abutted National Forest and BLM land, with a river running through it. I occasionally heard a cougar scream, and a lynx killed and ate my cat’s kittens, and tried for my dog. Rural people are apt to have a better understanding of the environment than city folk, whose idea of “wilderness” can be a little lacking.

Oct. 2010: “345 New Species Discovered, and 1/3 of Extinct Species Aren’t ExtinctPictured was an Okapi or Forest Giraffe, hadn’t been seen since 1969. March, 2012: “This is Elphaba“— pictured. She was a baby Aye-aye born at the Duke Lemur Center. Aye-ayes are nocturnal, lives in tropical rainforest, and has a very specialized diet of the interior of Ramy nuts, nectar from the Travellers Palm tree and some fungi and insect grubs. August, 2013:A New Carnivorous Mammal Species Discovered in the Americas , pictured the Olinguito — looks like a cross between a house cat and a teddy bear. December 2014: More Abundance of Life: 221 New Species Discovered. And here’s a picture of an animal you didn’t know existed,  a Markhor, a species of wild goat found in NE Afghanistan and Pakistan. If you are especially interested, enter “endangered species” or “new species” in the blank over Bob Hope’s head in the sidebar. (We probably have generations who have no idea who Bob Hope was)

It is a large and complicated Earth, and what seems to be missing in one place may well be abundant elsewhere. Biodiversity scientists estimate that we have discovered less than ten percent of species on the planet. In 2014, the new species, previously unknown, included 110 ants, 16 beetles, 3 spiders, 28 fished, 24 sea slugs, 2 marine worms, 9 barnacles, 2 octocorals, 25 plants, one waterbear and one tiny mammal—an elephant shrew. (not pictured)

P.S. The Polar Bears are Just fine and prospering.



No More Useless Increases in CAFE Standards! Good Riddance. by The Elephant's Child

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Last Thursday, the EPA and the DOT announced a new proposed rule on automobile fuel efficiency standards. The Obama administration’s rule promulgated in 2012 was supposed to achieve a “corporate average” by the car companies for their new vehicles of 54.5 mpg by 2025. Instead it increased the cost of automobiles and the cost of gas.

The American people apparently are not capable of choosing how fuel-efficient they want their new cars to be. Fuel efficiency is not the number one issue in a car purchase. The most popular vehicles in recent years have been pickup trucks which are not particularly fuel efficient. The Ford F-150 is rated at 16 mpg city and 22 mpg highway — nowhere near 54.3 mpg. The new rule will end the ongoing increases in CAFE standards after 2020 applicable to new vehicles sold.

A report from the Environmental Protection Agency has found that including ethanol into the U.S. gasoline supply is wreaking havoc on the atmosphere and on the soil.



It’s Not Climate Change that is Fueling Destructive Wildfires by The Elephant's Child

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People here in the Seattle area are complaining about the smoky air. There are some forest fires, mostly on the other side of the mountains around Omak, and in the Okanagan. In California, Governor Jerry Brown screeches that “since civilization emerged 10,000 years ago, we haven’t had this kind of heat condition, and it’s going to continue getting worse and that’s the way it is.” At a state Office of Emergency Services press conference he said firefighters would have to adapt to increasingly severe wildfires because of climate change.

To quote from the Daily Caller “Years of mismanagement built up in California forests are feeding massive wildfires scorching the state, which is on track to experience its most destructive fire season ever. Nearly 3,000 acres of state and local lands in California have been burned this year, about triple the size of the five-year average for this time of year. The amount outpaces 2017’s historic fire season in the state by about 70,000 acres, The San Francisco Chronicle reports. The Little Hoover Commission (LHC), an independent California oversight agency, has been documenting forest mismanagement in the Golden State for decades. LHC described California’s Timber Harvest Plan in 1994 as an “inadequate tool” for balancing environmental and economic needs.

The environmental movement got all excited about preserving our forests and put enormous pressure on governmental agencies to stop cutting down trees, stop logging, and stop building logging roads into the beautiful forests. Logging provided lumber for building homes, and the price of lumber went way up, so nobody is building “starter homes” anymore. Ending logging meant that forests were not thinned as they were when logs were harvested, which means the trees are too close together, and there’s more deadwood and brush, which means more fire danger. There are always consequences for your actions. But aside from being wrong about the 10,000 years, Jerry Brown is wrong about climate change as well.

Wildfires have always been nature’s method of forest management.The U.S. Department of the Interior explains:

Fire has always been a natural process that is essential to healthy ecological systems. In the early 1900s, land management agencies sought to suppress all fires in an effort to preserve the timber supply. Over the decades, fire exclusion led to more living and dead vegetation on the landscape, increasing the fuel and as a result, the risk of large wildfires in our forests, rangelands, and near communities.

There are currently an estimated 66 million dead trees in the Sierra Nevada Mountain Range. The land there can comfortably support between 20 and 100 trees per acre, There are currently around 266 trees per acre.

Granted, the Carr fire in Northern California has been devastating, burning much of Redding and Shasta, there have  been 6 deaths and many  homes have been destroyed, which is why Jerry Brown is looking for someone to blame other than mismanagement.  But then he is sure that the end is near from global warming.

A September 2017 report in the journal Science found that the global burned area has dropped by about 25 percent over the previous 18 years,  consistent with a May 2016 paper published by the Royal Society B:Biological Sciences.

During 2017, there were 150 graphs from 122 scientific papers published in peer-reviewed journals indicating that modern temperatures are Not unprecedented, unusual, nor hockey-stick-shaped —nor do they fall outside the range of natural variability. So far in 2018, there are 108 graphs from 89 scientific papers that undermine the claims that the modern era warming is climatically unusual, so it would seem that the attempt to blame global warming won’t work either.

It is often assumed that most forest fires are caused by lightning strikes, but it is reported that 90 percent of forest fires in this country are caused by human action. Like Smoky Bear said: “Only you can prevent forest fires”




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