American Elephants


Do You Live on the Coast of California? They’re Coming for You! by The Elephant's Child

The California Coastal Commission is set to empower local governments to pursue eminent domain to take 1,100 miles of coastline in order to prepare for sea level rise. Local jurisdictions will implement a “managed retreat” policy that will allow taking and demolishing coastal homes and businesses.

This will allow communities to dismantle and relocate power plants, 250 miles of highway, 1,500 miles of roads and 110 miles of railway.

This battle is going to be fun, when the state tries to take Environmentalist Tom Steyer’s coastal property, in the name of saving the rest of California from the horrors of global warming and its sea level rise.

Scientists are not sure that there is any rise in sea level at all. What little discrepancy they see may simply be coastline shrinking.

Roy Spencer PhD. noted recently that “Climate Models are warming the Global Lower Atmosphere 67% Faster than the average of 9 Observational Datasets.”

In the last 40 years, the discrepancy between models and observations for the globally-averaged lower atmosphere looks like this:

ADDENDUM:  If you are not a climate scientist, and I am not, you may not be used to reading graphs and grasping all their information. Do notice that this particular graph covers the last 40 years and notice just how much warming there has been. Run for the hills! As Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez claims, we just have five years left before the ultimate catastrophe. I don’t know how they can measure a sea level rise that small. Just a tiny bit over 6/10ths of one degree Centigrade?

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The “Green New Deal” and Other Lefty Fantasies by The Elephant's Child

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Supposedly Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s “‘Green’ New Deal” is quite popular among the new far-leftists in Congress. Democrats remain enamored of the memory of FDR. Some believe that he saved the nation from the Great Depression, (he didn’t). But anything with the term “New Deal” will be more popular on the Left. Young Ms. Ocasio-Cortez has a veritable wealth of ideas that are just plain wrong. She is not stupid, as so many claim. She just has a lot of very, very bad ideas. Money is not a problem – “We’ll just pay for it.” she says. Raise taxes as high as 82% on the wealthy? Fine. Her Green New Deal would cost 8,000 times as much as President Trump’s Border Wall request, according to Tyler O”Neil at PJ Media.

The “Green New Deal” will cost approximately $49,109 trillion in the first ten years, enough to fund Trump’s border wall 8,616 times over. The president is requesting $5.7 billion for the wall.

PJ Media calculated the cost of the “Green New Deal” by integrating each of the cost aspects involved in a Power the Future analysis and calculating their cost for the U.S. over about ten years — and in one case through 2050.

According to Ocasio-Cortez, the “Green New Deal” will force America to transition to an economy run from 100 percent renewable energy. Christopher Clark, a physicist who has studied rapid deployments of renewable energy, told The Hill that building this kind of generating capacity would cost “at least $2 trillion.”

Her idea for “renewable energy” probably does not contain nuclear power, for there seems to be a lot of resistance to building new nuclear power plants, although California’s small Diablo Canyon nuclear plant produces more energy than all of California’s many solar farms and wind turbines put together. The website for the left-wing think tank Data for Progress explains:

The goals of the Green New Deal are nothing short of radical. As the website for the left-wing think tank Data for Progress explains, the Green New Deal aims to “transform the economy and the environment in ways that achieve sustainability, equity, justice, freedom, and happiness.” Achieving happiness has never been easy. Even harder will be the Green New Deal’s aim of completely eliminating the use of coal, oil, and natural gas by 2050.

How all this happiness and energy legerdemain will be achieved is anyone’s guess. Supporters are particularly vague about how they would find the hundreds of billions — or even trillions — of dollars needed to attempt such a plan. Nevertheless, there is one unassailable fact about the Green New Deal: It is not green. Indeed, the entire notion of an all-renewable-energy system is the antithesis of environmental protection and scenic conservation.

Promoters seem to assume that there are vast tracts of vacant land, territory that is just waiting to be covered with renewable energy projects. To fuel the U.S. economy, would require state-sized empty territories to be covered with nothing but wind turbines and solar panels. (All that territory where the Deplorables live) It would require stringing tens of thousands of miles with new high-voltage transmission lines. Vox featured an explanation of the Green New Deal, and the feature was the kind of solar plant that proved to be essentially worthless at Ivanpah, in the Mojave. Doesn’t work. Didn’t produce the energy required, killed birds by the thousands.

Two researchers from Harvard published a study that looked at energy-production data from 1,150 solar projects and 411 onshore wind projects. Meeting U.S. electricity consumption would require 12 percent of the continental U.S. land area for wind— or an area more than twice the size of the state of California. Not going to happen.

Here are some notable facts. Environmentalists and climate change activists want to believe in themselves as “social-justice warriors” fighting for the good, but the policies they promote would seriously harm people, especially the poor and disadvantaged. They are anti-human.

Here is a graph from a panel organized last month by the Heartland Institute, and the European Institute for Climate and Energy. Dr, Craig Idso , Founder of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change said:

[R]adiosondes’ [balloon] measurements shown in blue reveal that the actual warming rate is three times smaller than that predicted by the models [red bars show warming that should have occurred from 1979-2017, as predicted from 102 different climate models].

See the important graph here: It explains how and why the average of climate models has vastly overestimated the warming. Some climate scientists thought they could put the climate of the world into a computer, and get a program that would correctly predict the future climate. GIGO: garbage in garage out. But that became the “Scientific Consensus”.  They knew a few facts, added some estimates and some guesswork, and a significant bunch of mistakes, and lo and behold: “Science”
Do Read the Whole Thing



Nancy Pelosi Got Her Speaker’s Gavel Back, Unfortunately. by The Elephant's Child

 

Nancy Pelosi has been reelected to the office of Speaker of the House, and immediately tried to claim that she was the equal of the President of the United States, which was a bit of an exaggeration. Congressman Brad Sherman of Ventura County California introduced articles of impeachment, brand new representative Rashida Tlaib, who chose Palestinian garb in which to take the oath of office announced to her supporters (to wild cheers) that “We’re gonna go in there and impeach the m—–.” Hank Johnson, who last time round  worried that an island might tip over, referred to President Trump as “Hitler,”and said that those who support Trump are “less educated.” Young Ocasio-Cortez announced that to save us all from world-ending climate catastrophe in 5 years to support her Green New Deal, Congress would have to raise taxes on the rich to, oh, 82% or so. Maxine Waters is slated to become chair of the House Financial Services Committee, and is very committed to impeaching the President. Speaker Pelosi and House Democrats immediately introduced a bill to restore voting rights to convicted felons nationwide. Pelosi does want to spend all sorts of money on saving us from global warming.

Democrats want to overhaul campaign finance and ethics rules that would  “expand voting rights.” One idea is to allocate a pool of taxpayer money to match small-donor donations 6-1, as a way of encouraging “grassroots campaigning.” This goofy idea would not pass the Senate, but progressives like the idea of empowering the state to allocate money to preferred donors.

Some big cities have already begun handing out tax-funded “democracy vouchers.” In other words, politicians have passed legislation that subsidizes the speech of people who will, for the most part, support them. It’s quite the racket. Pelosi wants to take this corruption national.

Reducing the power of “special interests” in Washington is always a popular issue with voters. The problem, of course, is that every voter considers another group a special interest. Though as a political notion, campaign finance reform remains popular with Americans, specific campaign finance reform legislation is always about inhibiting someone’s speech.

What many Americans don’t seem to accept, particularly partisans, is that not voting or participating in our political process is also a matter of free expression. There’s nothing, after all, in the Constitution about how the state should encourage “grassroots activism.”

Democrats have no interest in working with Republicans to do what is best for the nation, nor in abiding by the Constitution, I forgot to mention that Representative Steve Cohen (D-TN) submitted a bill to change the Constitution by eliminating the Electoral College. Democrats have never grasped the reason why the Founders set it up that way, which interferes with their efforts to control the country.

Democrats’ demand to be in control has outweighed any understanding of the United States of America, our history, what the country is all about, the nature of our citizens – in their ugly, greedy desire to be in control with no interference from anyone. Nancy Pelosi not only announced that she was co-equal to the president (she’s not) but that we are nation of immigrants (we are not. We are a nation of citizens, and a nation of laws.) It’s going to be a difficult time.



Nancy Pelosi Expects To Once Again Be Speaker, Shortly! by The Elephant's Child

Nancy Pelosi has announced that she will revive the “Select Committee on Climate Change that was disbanded when the GOP took over Congress in 2010. The radical justice Democrats  are pushing for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to be a member, but Pelosi slyly refused to give the committee subpoena power and is preventing it from writing any legislation.

She also named Rep. Kathy Castor as chair. Castor is not a member of the Progressive Caucus and has actually accepted donations from (gasp) fossil fuel companies. The Justice Democrats have insisted that only those members who did not accept donations from energy companies be allowed to join the committee.

Pelosi said, when appointing Castor as chair:

“She will bring great experience, energy and urgency to the existential threat of the climate crisis. This committee will be critical to the entire Congress’s mission to respond to the urgency of this threat, while creating the good-paying, green jobs of the future. “

That didn’t go over well with the Justice Democrats who promptly issued a press release questioning the commitment of Pelosi and the Democrat leadership.

It’s extremely disappointing that the current proposal may be even weaker than Pelosi’s previous Select Committee on climate in 2007.  Democratic leadership still has time to create a Select Committee on a Green New Deal and support a serious proposal that holds fossil fuel billionaires accountable and is based on what science demands.

The party of the resistance can’t take the path of least resistance on climate and inequality.

Democrats will automatically support anything with “New Deal” in the wording. They still worship FDR.

Ocasio-Cortez has received an extraordinary amount of media attention, which I think Democrats are interpreting as support. They may come to regret that. Conservatives get a kick out of the way that every time she opens her mouth, the stupidity flows out. Chris Buskirk of American Greatness wrote a recent piece suggesting that she is not stupid at all, it’s just that most everything she believes is just plain wrong, and of course it is.

The climate folk never seem to do their homework. By that I mean they do not study up on the qualifications of the scientists, what they are actually saying, they just accept the latest buzz-words, and call the people who suggest they are mistaken “Deniers” and other bad words. Surely you have noticed that you are not allowed to disagree with a Democrat.

I think it was Jerry Brown who just pontificated about climate alarmism being “settled science.” Sorry, science is never “settled.” It is subject to constant study and attempts to replicate others’ conclusions. Al Gore went on at great length about the rising of the oceans, until he made a bundle with his alarmist movie, then he promptly bought an oceanside condominium on San Francisco Bay. Both tide gauge sea level and satellite altimetry show that the current amount of sea level change is about 3 millimeters a year, and that may be more because of land subsidence than actual sea level rise. Three millimeters is about the size of the lower-case letter ‘l’ in the awkwardly small type on this website.

Democrats are all excited about the Green New Deal, which is just socialism, but I repeat myself. They are so concerned about the horrors of carbon dioxide that they want to switch to renewables. Again, they haven’t done their homework. Wind is too intermittent to be a dependable source of energy, and solar energy is too diffuse, and there are clouds moving across the sky all the time. Occasio-Cortez thinks we have 5 years and we’re done for, and she expects New York to be underwater all too soon. So If she wants lots of new nuclear plants to be built, our society might not grind to a halt.

And then there’s the problem of where you get your science. Much of the current science comes not from observations of the real world, but from computer simulations in university labs. The problem is that there were a lot of things they didn’t have specific information for, so they put in estimates, and some intelligent guesswork, and a few assumptions, and so there you go.

I put a lot of emphasis on “doing your homework”– by that I mean that if you are going to be a citizen and a voter, you have an obligation to try hard to be informed. Doesn’t mean that we’re going to know it all, but we need to try – especially because Democrats feel no such obligation, and there are a lot of Ocasio-Cortez’s out there.



Questions Without Answers: Where and What is Reality? by The Elephant's Child

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I don’t know if there has ever been a time when reality was so much in question. What’s true and what’s not.  The new federal climate report comes out and climate scientists call it “tripe”–”embarrassing” – “systematically flawed” and said the key claim comes from a study funded by Tom Steyer and Michael Bloomberg. The climate scientists who assume they can program the world’s climate into a computer and get accurate answers about what will happen in the next hundred years have too much faith in computers. (GIGO)

The nation’s farewell to President George Herbert Walker Bush was alternately a celebration of the life of a war hero and a patriot and a good man, and a rebuke to the current president, and the current president and Melania were rebuked by Hillary, but Jeb said the President couldn’t have been nicer.

In Britain, Brexit is damaging to the nation and the European Union, and alternately, it is necessary for Britain to get out from under the control of the European Union, and the migrants may be a huge problem or not at all.

In France, Prime Minister Macron wants a big carbon tax to lower their efforts to damage the climate, and the people don’t want any carbon taxes and don’t plan on having any. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says it is inevitable that climate governance will create economic, social and racial justice. There will only be benefits, and no costs to passing a raft of new climate change laws. Others laugh at her.

Whatever the subject, opinion varies, which is normal, but opinion has become truth, and is not to be doubted. Google has been shown to be eliminating conservative truth and favoring their own leftist leanings. President Trump has said firmly that he is a nationalist, by which he means he loves his country and favors it. The President of France, Emmanuel Macron rebuked U.S. President Donald Trump for putting the interests of U.S. citizens above the demonstration of moral values, and said that nationalism is a bad thing.

The media in this country is conducting a war on President Trump, who they consider an illegal president to whom they are opposed, but clearly he is the legally elected and widely approved President of the United States. President Trump wants to build a wall on the Southern border to prevent the influx of illegal aliens. California has Sanctuary Cities and is, I believe, a sanctuary state.

Forest fires are caused by alternately poor forest management  or global warming, as stated by President Trump or California Governor Jerry Brown. We can determine the truth to the extent that we agree with one side or another, but over and over, there is no widely accepted truth.

This is the reality exposed by the technology giants, who are supposedly emanating only truth, and eliminating “hate speech”, but what is called “hate speech” depends on which voices attract the most valuable clicks. Hollywood celebrities, who have only the fact that we may recognize their faces or names to attest to the worth of what they say, are free to use all the “hate speech” they want because being celebrities they will have lots of followers, which means a lot of clicks for the website. So “Truth” is not what is approved by the websites that claim to be impartial judges of truth and falsehood, but the impartial judges lie as well.

Electoral Fraud is widespread, or simply does not exist. It is hardly surprising that so many are claiming that we are on the brink of a civil war. Truth is fiction, Animal Farm is real, and Maisie Hirono (D-HI) urges Democrats to consider “heart over mind. Don’t tell everybody how smart we are.”

The ceremonies for the mourning of a past president and the long, long lines of people waiting in the cold for a chance to pass by the catafalque suggested to many that President H.W. Bush was the last of the patricians, when everybody agreed on right and wrong and true and false. Of course they didn’t agree then, but the times have changed and we have organizations like Snopes and the SPLC, PoliFact, NewsBusters, the Media Research Center to tell us what is true and what is not, and they deliver falsehoods, and the atmosphere out there is far worse than it ever was.



Chicken Little in Full Cry: “The Sky is Falling, the Sky is Falling” by The Elephant's Child

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In a press release, the World Meteorological Organization said:

The long-term warming trend has continued in 2018, with the average global temperature set to be the fourth highest on record. The 20 warmest years on record have been in the past 22 years, with the top four in the past four years.’

The BBC and others picked up on that and said:

Climate change” Last four years are the ‘world’s hottest”

And the Guardian:

“Past four years hottest on record, data shows.”

 

As you can see a graph tells a very different story. The past decade has a climate change contribution but what elevates the past four years above the previous ones is an El Nino event, the strongest one on record. As we have said many time before an El Nino is not a climatic phenomenon, it is weather. What’s more, after its peak in 2016 the global temperature has fallen by around 0.4° C. The past four years being the warmest on record is true, but it has been primarily due to the 2015/16 super El Nino.

Warmest on record? Not exactly, the WMO got weather and climate mixed up. For the full commentary, go here.

It is fascinating that in the information age, when we supposedly have access to anything and everything in the way of information, it is so hard to figure out just what the truth is.  What is not politicized, seems to be printed in sheer ignorance.  Politics trumps Truth every time. We should make a little more noise about facts and truth. Google employees apparently wanted to ban any Conservative commentary, yet are happy to connive with the Chinese government in suppressing the freedom of China’s citizens to complete control. Apparently those who have spent their lives so far learning technology issues, have neglected to learn any history, or read the Constitution, or learn the nature of the free enterprise system.



Alexandria Occassionally-Cogent Says We’re All Going to Die in 5 Years If We Don’t Do Something Right Now. by The Elephant's Child

The climate of the Earth has been warming and cooling for millions of years.

THE MORE RECENT CLIMATE TIMELINE

120,000 – 110,000 Years Ago – The Eemian interglacial
100,000 Years Ago – A fairly sudden shift to cold glacial conditions over ∼ 400 years ∼or less. Northern forests retreat – ice sheets take over.

60,000 – 55.000 years between – partial melted glaciers
14,000 years ago – Sudden warming raising temperatures to present levels.
12,500 years ago – Younger Dryas after 1,500 years of recovery from ice age    1000 years of ice age.
12,500 years ago – Present interglacial – Holocene
9,000 to 5,000 years ago – Climate Optimum
2,800 years ago – cooling event, wet conditions

1,500 year cycle – through 1 million years 1,500 year warm-cold cycle superimposed over longer, stronger, ice ages and interglacials.

RECENT EARTH CLIMATE HISTORY

600 to 200 B.C.  Unnamed cold period
200 BC to about AD 600: Roman Warming
600 to 900: Dark Ages: cold period
900 to 1300: Medieval Warming
1300 to 1850: Little Ice Age (two-stage)

MODERN CLIMATE HISTORY

1850 to 1940:  Especially between 1920-1940 warming
1940 to 1975: Cooling trend
1976 to 1978: Sudden Warming spurt
1979 to 1998: + 1º
1998 to 2011:  – 1º

Roy Spencer, PhD is a Principal Research Scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville where he and Dr. John Christy monitor the global temperature with satellites. He has provided congressional testimony several times on the subject of global warming. The link just above provides a short explanation of global warming — do read the whole thing, you’ll understand a lot more, and know what is nonsense, which you will hear a lot of.

His website is www.drroyspencer.com   Lots of good information there, you might want to save the link..

I am most definitely not a climate scientist, but I grew up very rural in what you might think of as the foothills of the Rocky Mountains, somewhere around 5000′ elevation, with woods and a river, and in winter, a fabulous sledding hill, and I’ve been snowed in. So I spent my time outdoors. Significantly different than an urban apartment dweller, even those who profess fondness for nature and the outdoors. A flood took out 5 of our buildings, had  lightning strike a tree close to the house, (big noise), killed a rattlesnake, and I’m a pretty fair shot with woodrats. I’ve heard cougars scream, and run down to the river to catch a trout for breakfast. So I’m not impressed with folks marching or running around in polar bear suits.




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