American Elephants


California Is Determined to Stop Global Warming In It’s Tracks by The Elephant's Child

cowsYou have probably learned by now that the great state of California has determined to advance it’s fight against global warming by a serious effort to reduce emissions from bovine flatulence. Yes, cow gas.

Cattle and other farm animals are major sources of methane, a greenhouse gas many times more potent than carbon dioxide as a heat-trapping gas. Methane is released when they belch, pass gas and make manure.

“If we can reduce emissions of methane, we can really help to slow global warming,” said Ryan McCarthy, a science adviser for the California Air Resources Board, which is drawing up rules to implement the new law.

Livestock are responsible for 14.5 percent of human-induced greenhouse gas emissions, with beef and dairy production accounting for the bulk of it, according to a 2013 United Nations report.

California is a the nation’s largest dairy farming state, and dairy farmers are not taking this lying down. This will drive up costs when farms have struggled for five years with drought, low milk prices and rising labor costs. The state has set up $50 million to help dairies set up methane digesters which capture the methane from manure in large storage tanks and convert the gas into electricity. Farmers, who probably understand the cost analysis better than state bureaucrats, say this is not nearly enough to equip the state’s roughly 1,500 dairies. More dairy farmers will move out of the state, following other businesses that are leaving California in droves for states where they are better treated.

The difference this will make with climate issues, probably not measurable, but hope is eternal. Governor Brown’s high speed rail doesn’t seem to be going anywhere at enormous cost. The giant Ivanpah solar project has been a flop. In the wake of the election, some Californians demanded that California secede from the Union, apparently unaware of the results of the last time States decided to secede. That demand led to suggestions that California rejoin Mexico, and good riddance, but Californians didn’t like that either. The  “Golden” State continues in its drive to make itself unpopular.



Antarctic Sea Ice Is Pretty Much the Same as in Ernest Shackleton’s Logs of a Century Ago. by The Elephant's Child

antarctic-sea-ice-100617-02A 2008 paper by James Hanson, former Director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies … showed the true gravity of the situation. In it, Hansen set out to determine what level of atmospheric CO2 society should aim for if humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted. His climate models showed that exceeding 350 parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere would likely have catastrophic effects. We’ve already blown past that limit. Right now, environmental monitoring shows concentrations around 400 ppm.

There were no consequences. Real-world evidence clearly demonstrates that Hansen’s hypothesis is wrong. (Scientific method)

Also in the news is that the El Nino warming effect has ended, and things are getting colder.

Scientists were shocked by what they found when pouring over accounts from the famous South Pole explorers  a century ago. The Antarctic Sea Ice is just about the same as it was 100 years ago according to the ships logs of Ernest Shackleton, in addition to other explorations in those waters. Scientists had only really looked at Antarctic sea ice levels from the 1950s onward, which shows a relative decline in sea ice. But researcher Dr. Jonathan Day and his team were the first to look at conditions prior to the 1930s. Current sea ice is just 14 percent smaller than the highest point of the 1900s and 12 percent greater than the lowest point.

Why is that a big deal? It shows that Antarctic sea ice has fluctuated throughout the 20th century—due to natural climate shifts, not man-made warming. The problem is that if you want to predict the state of the climate in a hundred and fifty years, you won’t know whether you were correct or not until 150 years from now, no matter how many computer programs you have or how many peer-reviewed papers you produce.

Arctic sea ice extent has shrunk more than 7 percent per decade since 1979 while Antarctic sea ice has actually grown about one percent per decade — despite what most climate models predicted.

A 2015 NASA study found Antarctica’s ice sheet increased in mass from 1992 to 2008. The study found ice gains in Eastern Antarctica more than offset ice loss from melting glaciers in the west.

Day’s study comes just after the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) found the collapse of a major South Pole was sparked by an El Nino during the 1940s, not man-made climate change.



Dr. Tim Ball The Deliberate Corruption of Climate Science by The Elephant's Child

Jan 10, 2015: A speech from last year, but really worth your time. Dr. Ball is not only an interesting climate scientist, but he has a great sense of humor. Save it for this evening as a relief from the lefties’ street theater.



Mr. Trump is Getting Off to a Very Good Start! by The Elephant's Child

122712_cavuto_ebellOh Frabjous Day Callooh! Callay!* Donald Trump has selected Myron Ebell, director of the Center for Energy and Environment at the conservative Competitive Enterprise Institute who will spearhead Trump’s transition plans for the EPA and climate policy. An excellent pick!

Scientific American huffed:

Ebell is a well-known and polarizing figure in the energy and environment realm. His participation in the EPA transition signals that the Trump team is looking to drastically reshape the climate policies the agency has pursued under the Obama administration. Ebell’s role is likely to infuriate environmentalists and Democrats but buoy critics of Obama’s climate rules.

Ebell, who was dubbed an “elegant nerd” and a “policy wonk” by Vanity Fair, is known for his prolific writings that question what he calls climate change “alarmism.” He appears frequently in the media and before Congress. He’s also chairman of the Cooler Heads Coalition, a group of nonprofits that “question global warming alarmism and oppose energy-rationing policies.”

Ebell appears to relish criticism from the left.

The climate policy of the Left has never been about climate. They have created a noxious hysteria about man’s role in climate which is more myth than reality, with the general aim of using climate panic to destroy capitalism and bring on a new world order. See the post by Dr. Fred Goldberg below. Myron Ebell is not a “climate denier” nobody denies climate, a silly accusation. Just another of the insults and accusations flung about by the Left, who really hate being disagreed with.

We have spent billions and engaged in all sorts of silly schemes in a futile attempt to change the climate, which is controlled by the actions of the sun. Good appointment. Can we hope that the EPA will join the list of once-useful agencies that have been disbanded?

*”Jabberwocky” by Lewis Caroll



Dr. Fred Goldberg Squashes Climate Alarmism by The Elephant's Child

Dr. Fred Goldberg , director of the Swedish Polar Institute and a leading world authority on polar history and exploration, discusses the extent of Arctic glaciers and sea ice which have been highly variable over the past millennium.  “Warmists” have cited some recent retreats as supposed evidence of man-caused warming, Goldberg has showed that ice retreated dramatically in the 1920s—prompting a scare and fears of “a radical change in climatic conditions and  unheard of temperatures in the Arctic, then temperatures dropped again and the ice came back.  By 1977 there were fears of a coming ice age. To understand future ice conditions, he says, we need to understand what the sun is doing.

IPCC’s climate people have little knowledge about cloud formation and its effect on the climate and the influence of water vapor on the greenhouse effect.

The climate is a chaotic system and can therefore not be modeled. No climate models have been verified and it takes at least 60 years to verify a climate model.

The panic about global warming exists entirely in computerized climate programs, and the minds of the Left. And there are just too many variables that we do not understand, so they filled in with ‘educated guesses,’ wild guesses and approximations. But research on matters of climate can garner hefty grants, better salaries and new labs,  and a chance to go to all sorts of climate meetings in the lovely resorts of the world. Who’s going to worry about approximations?



Matt Ridley Explains Why the Greening of the World is Far More Important than any Worries about gGobal Warming by The Elephant's Child

 

Matt Ridley is a fascinating speaker, and the world needs to know something about his ideas—they’re that good. Worth every minute. Published October 21, 2016.The speech was given October 17th at the British Royal Society.



Do Not Vote for a Carbon Tax. It’s Not What You Might Think! by The Elephant's Child

preview_sunny-green-hillsHere in the State of Washington, we have a carbon tax on the ballot. If passed, it would be the first carbon tax in the country. The greenies are simply quivering with excitement. It will do nothing at all to reduce the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, nor is that the aim.   Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant.

Climate change is very low on the list of voters’ priorities, and for good reason. The most dangerous environmental pollutants have been cleaned up—carbon dioxide is not among them. U.S. emissions of particulates, metals and assorted gases—ozone, lead, carbon monoxide, oxides of nitrogen and sulfur have fallen almost 70% between 1970 and 2014. The illusion remains that the beneficial gas carbon dioxide is among hazardous pollutants. (The EPA keeps trying to impress this false idea on the gullible). The public’s biggest worry is corruption of politicians.

Unlike genuine pollutants, carbon dioxide (CO2) is an odorless, colorless gas. Every human being exhales about two pounds of CO2 a day, along with a similar amount of water vapor. CO2 is nontoxic to people and animals and is a vital nutrient to plants. It is also a greenhouse gas which helps maintain earth at a habitable temperature.

CO2 is a natural fertilizer for plants, and is helping to feed a hungry world. he amount of CO2 in the atmosphere ranges from around 390 to a little over 400 ppm. Greenhouses keep their atmosphere at around 1000 ppm to keep their plants growing nicely. It would be a good thing if we could raise the amount in the atmosphere to 1000 ppm, and it is possible and not all that expensive.

The climatistas or climate warriors or whatever you want to call them are not really interested in climate as such, they are interested in ending the vast pollution of Capitalism, and they believe that the war on climate is their best chance of getting to their goal. Carbon taxes are just one of the ways of getting there.

Dr. Roy Spencer is Principal Research Scientist in Climatology at the University of Alabama-Huntsville. He is the source of the only truly global monitoring system of observed warming.

Global warming and climate change, even if it is 100% caused by humans, is so slow that it cannot be observed by anyone in their lifetime. Hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, droughts and other natural disasters have yet to show any obvious long-term change. This means that in order for politicians to advance policy goals (such as forcing expensive solar energy on the masses or creating a carbon tax), they have to turn normal weather disasters into “evidence” of climate change.

You have seen the pictures of New York City practically underwater, with the Statue of Liberty up to her nose in rising seawater.

Sea level rise, which was occurring long before humans could be blamed, has not accelerated and still amounts to only 1 inch every ten years. If a major hurricane is approaching with a predicted storm surge of 10-14 feet, are you really going to worry about a sea level rise of 1 inch per decade? If Hillary would have fact-checked her example of sea level rise in Norfolk, Virginia, she would have found out that the experts already know this is mostly due to the land there sinking.

To the extent that the cost of weather disasters has risen over time, that is well known to be the result of modern society building more infrastructure in areas that are prone to damage from weather—which is almost everywhere.

Do read the whole thing, stop worrying, and if you live in Washington State, please vote against the carbon tax.

ADDENDUM: Dr.Roy Spencer has a website here, with both the latest climate news, and excellent short articles explaining global warming 101 for those of us who didn’t do much beyond high school biology, chemistry and physics.




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