American Elephants


Absolutely Entitled to Be In Charge! by The Elephant's Child

It is certainly clear that Democrats believe they are entitled to run things, to be in charge. Three years later, and they still have not gotten over it. “Entitled” seems to be the key word. They should be in charge – because they are morally superior. They are compassionate. They care.

Republicans clearly do not care. They make it clear every day. Desperate people looking for a better life, and Republicans want to build walls to keep them out. They want to send people to prison just for smoking a joint. They have this cruel police force called ICE that wants to track down immigrants living quietly in this country and deport them. They want to tell women what they can do with their bodies, and deny them health care when they need it most. They clearly do not really care about the people at all.

The earth is facing a horrible doom because Republicans won’t face facts and move to clean renewable energy, and stop the evil oil pipelines that are despoiling the planet, because they favor Big Oil companies instead of clean natural wind and solar energy. It’s very clear that Republican care far more about budgets and big corporations than they do about the American people.

If you just keep their moral superiority in mind, everything will become clearer and less argumentative. They are really trying to improve things. Just see what they are offering to do to improve your lives. Rein in those big corporations that are polluting the planet. Medicare for all, not just the old folks. Compassion for all.  Social Justice for all. More equality. More fairness. What more could you ask?



Are We Getting Dumber? Or Does It Just Seem That Way? by The Elephant's Child

I just questioned (online) the vaguely remembered claim that most Americans cannot name the three branches of government. It was supposedly only 26% who could not name them, then it got turned around to 75% of Americans could not, and just 26 percent who could, and only 33% who could name a single branch. Well, that’s informative. No wonder President Trump speaks of “Fake News.”

It’s clear that people don’t know how to think about the climate. Popular thinking runs somewhere from total panic because the earth is ending in just 5 years, to this article I ran across today: “A Relatively Painless Guide to Cutting Plastic Out of Your Life.”

Last year may have been the beginning of the end for plastic. It may have taken a while for the average person to wake up to its dangers, but many were shaken into action by the images and videos of plastic’s impact on the natural world that flooded the media in 2018.

A viral video showed a turtle with a straw stuck up its nose. Stories about the Great Pacific Garbage Patch revealed how island-sized trash mounds had collected in the ocean between Hawaii and California. And then there was that National Geographic cover of a plastic bag floating in the water, beneath the scrawled words “Planet or Plastic?” The issue publicized a remarkable statistic: Despite the world’s efforts to recycle, 91 percent ends up in the trash.

What, you are telling me that we have these huge, expensive recycling programs, and they don’t work at all? Not to worry, the plastic in the oceans apparently comes from China, which is actually worrisome. The United States has done a remarkable job of reducing noxious emissions — more than any other country.

This is from SEPP’s weekly newsletter (Science and Environmental Policy Project’ free newsletter)

Appropriate Models: Mathematics is the language of science, but that does not mean that mathematical models correctly describe physical phenomena. Or that a mathematical process in a model used in analyzing physical evidence (data) from observations and / or experiments suitable for one phenomenon is suitable for other phenomena. The model may or may not describe the subject phenomenon. That is one reason why Richard Feynman stated that hypotheses (guesses) must be tested against all relevant data. Experimental data is preferred because other possible influences are controlled to the extent possible, but observational data may be necessary.

Benny Avni writes in the New York Sun that as America’s Democratic Presidential Candidates promote programs borrowed from Europe’s traditional left, Europeans are increasingly pushing back against them. Angela Merkel was blamed for dragging Germany’s Christian Democratic Party too far to the left. France’s National Rally Party beat President Macron’s centrist faction. In Poland, Hungary and Italy, politicians of various right-wing parties are now in power, and anti-leftist parties are on the rise. In Canada, Prime Minister Trudeau is struggling to stay in power after his Liberal party suffered parliamentary seat losses. Lot of Politics out there.

I got my hair cut yesterday, and picked up a copy of the old familiar Readers Digest  in the waiting room. No longer a big thick magazine, it had dieted down to maybe a quarter of an inch thick. Magazines and newspapers are clearly dying. I’m more concerned about the dumbing-down of society. I suspect that the online opinions flashing across computer screens suggest that people don’t read anything of length. Some websites are suggesting, beside their stories, that it is  only a 4 minute, or 6 minute read, to encourage those who have a tiny bit of time to pause long enough for their story. Reminds me to be brief and get to the point. But it suggests that we are becoming more superficial, less informed, and more open to bad information. What do you think?



A Little Useful Basic Information from Real Scientists by The Elephant's Child

This is an older video, but a very good one. Dr. Richard Lindzen is one of our most respected scientists, and this simple video does a good job of clarifying the situation.

Here’s another (also older) from”Conversations that Matter” with Dr. William Happer, from Princeton University.

Most of the warming, rise of the oceans, all the stuff you hear so much panic about is measured in millimeters. If you don’t have a ruler that includes millimeters look it up. And as to warming:

The world’s 76 best Tide gauges show a mean 0.34 mm per year rise. “negligible acceleration”. There is no sign of climate models predicting sharply warming acceleration or sea level rise.

There are now around 31 different climate computer programs (the serious ones). They put in what we know, and what we think maybe we know, and a bunch of intelligent guesses. And they especially don’t know what to do about clouds. Clearly clouds have an effect on warming. Yesterday was cloudy and windy. Today the sky was blue with little wisps of transparent cloudiness. But what that influence is and what is means is a mystery. They are mostly moving.

In cities, where a lot of the measurements take place, there is a huge urban heat island effect with concrete absorbing the heat from the sun, and furnace exhaust systems, concrete pavement, concrete walls.

There’s an enormous amount that we just don’t know. And what we don’t know doesn’t seem to be a cause for alarm. Sorry, Greta. Several years ago, Christiana Figueres, who was the general secretary of the IPCC, admitted in a radio broadcast that Climate Alarmism was the best opportunity we had, to rid the world of the evils of Capitalism. Perhaps that’s where AOC  gets her “Green New Deal.” Pay more attention to scientists other scientists respect, and less to movie has-beens like Jane Fonda or Leonardo Di Caprio. Better yet, study up on your own.



Let’s Hear It for the Goats! by The Elephant's Child

California is still burning up. Most of the fires seem to have been caused by sparking of power lines, and PG&E is under attack, and may go under. Except by former California Governor Jerry Brown who went on to Face the Nation to pointedly explain that the fires are directly caused by Donald Trump and the Republicans because of their opposition to drastic climate change policies.

Fortunately the Republicans at the Ronald Reagan Library explained how it should work. They brought in a herd of goats back in May to graze the area and dispose of tinder dry weeds and underbrush. It’s called forest management.

President Trump is to be in California on Saturday to honor the fire crews who worked so hard to save lives and towns in the Camp Fire in Butte County, the most destructive fire in California history.

Brown joined Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke on Wednesday on a tour of areas in and around the Butte County town of Paradise that were devastated by the Camp Fire. At least 71 people were killed in the blaze and more than 11,000 structures burned. The number of people reported missing since the blaze jumped to 1,011 on Friday as crews continue searching for bodies in the wreckage.

Three people have died in the Woolsey Fire in Ventura and Los Angeles counties. The blaze has destroyed 616 structures. Newsom has toured both the Camp Fire and Woolsey Fire in recent days, saying he was “in awe of the strength and resilience” of the survivors and thankful to first responders.

Forest fires are not caused by global warming. Hurricanes and earthquakes are not caused by global warming, nor are tornadoes, and forcing Americans to buy electric cars (Chuck Schumer’s latest bright idea), would be a disaster. The climate is actually cooling slightly, as the sun has entered a low sunspot phase.

Victor Davis Hanson who is a 3rd or 4th generation Californian writes plaintively Is California Becoming Premodern?” I lived in California for too many years, and was glad to leave. California has the worst poverty rate in the country, and Silicon Valley is having big arguments over whether they should allow Republican campaign ads at all. We are harassed ever day by what some faded movie celebrity had to say in an attempt to revive a career. It simply shows the paucity of news reporters efforts to grasp what is happening in today’s world. Way too much of what somebody whose name we might recognize said, and way too little of what their research has shown. (because they didn’t do any.)



Now We Have to Offer “Refuge” To Those Displaced By a Changing Climate! by The Elephant's Child

From Breitbart:

Democrat legislators have drafted a bill to import at least 50,000 “climate refugees” per year despite the damaging impact on Americans’ wages and rents.

“America will continue to stand tall as a safe haven for immigrants,” declared Rep. Nydia Velázquez (D-NY), who was born in Puerto Rico and chairs the House Committee on Small Business. She said:

Despite this Administration’s efforts to strip the world’s most vulnerable populations of refuge … this legislation will not only reaffirm our nation’s longstanding role as a home to those fleeing conflict and disasters, but it will also update it to reflect changes to our world brought on by a changing climate.

The bill is titled the “Climate Displaced Persons Act,” and it offers green cards to “climate-displaced persons … [who] are individuals who have been forcibly displaced by climate change or climate-induced disruptions, such as sea-level rise, glacial outburst floods, desertification or fires … there could be as many as 200 million CDPs by 2050 globally,” said a statement from Velázquez‘s office.

Doesn’t anybody on the Left side of the aisle do their homework? Study up, so they know what they are talking about? There are certainly those who have been displaced and lost everything because of natural disasters such as hurricanes, tornadoes, and earthquakes. Japan has just suffered under a massive earthquake and a typhoon. But these are not climate related events. If your house is built on a known earthquake fault, you might think about moving. Hurricanes are not climate related

This is supposed to be a “humanitarian”program separate from the U.S. refugee admissions program. It would admit a minimum of 50,000 Climate Displaced Persons (CDP) beginning in 2020. The President would be granted authority to “promote resilience among communities facing the impacts of climate change, The Secretary of State must devise a Global Climate Resilience position responsible for all federal efforts to address the effects of events caused by climate change.

There are no “Climate Refugees”. The climate has been changing for millions of years. It has been warmer in the past, and it has been cooler in the past, much warmer and cooler than it is today.

The United States first responsibility is to its citizens, not to those who think they might like it better here. If you want to come to America, go to your nearest consulate and apply, and wait your turn. If you need to fix up your country, figure out what is wrong and enlist others to help fix it. America currently has the finest economy the world has ever known. You might think that some of the discontented might try to find out just what Capitalism is, and why it works, instead of plotting to destroy Capitalism so they can have the kind of economy extolled by the worst mass murderers in the history of the world.



Is The Coming Climate Change Cooling, And a New Ice Age? by The Elephant's Child

Here’s another piece of interest from the same website “Watts Up With That?” : “The Real Climate Crisis is Not Global Warming, It is Cooling, And it May Have Already Started” The warming theory depends a lot on the rise in the amount of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere which is up. But CO2 is a natural fertilizer for plants, and the planet is greening with the additional carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, so much so that the greening can be seen from space, and crops are bountiful and feeding hungry people. Greenhouses pump in additional CO2 to benefit their plants to as much as 1,000 ppm, and we don’t notice any dead nurserymen from the poisonous gasses. CO2 is not a pollutant, not a dangerous gas, but what we exhale each time we breathe.

Ice Ages are very bad, on the other hand. Greta Thunberg had her facts wrong, and subjecting a child to all that hullabaloo is a form of child abuse.



Dr. Roy Spencer on Chaotic Climate Change and the IPCC by The Elephant's Child

1695 Winter Landscape: Snowfall near Antwerp by Lucas van Valckanborch

An interesting article by Dr. Roy Spencer reposted at Watts Up With That? Dr. Spencer is wondering if there is a preferred average state for the climate, and the variations gather around the average. That idea seems to guide the IPCC scientists who write the reports which guide international energy policy on fossil fuel use. They construct their climate models so that the models do not produce any warming or cooling unless they are forced to through increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gases, aerosols or volcanic eruptions.

What I’d like to discuss here is NOT whether there are other ‘external’ forcing agents of climate change, such as the sun. That is a valuable discussion, but not what I’m going to address. I’d like to address the question of whether there really is an average state that the climate system is constantly re-adjusting itself toward, even if it is constantly nudged in different directions by the sun.

If there is such a preferred average state, then the forcing-feedback paradigm of climate change is valid. In that system of thought, any departure of the global average temperature from the Nature-preferred state is resisted by radiative “feedback”, that is, changes in the radiative energy balance of the Earth in response to the too-warm or too-cool conditions. Those radiative changes would constantly be pushing the system back to its preferred temperature state.

If you have an interest in things climate, it’s an interesting read. Also, keep in mind that President Trump just got us out of the Paris Peace Accords, which would have done nothing at all to remedy anything about the climate, but would have shipped a lot of American funds off to the world’s poorer states.

Dr. Spencer adds:

It is clear that the UN IPCC, by its very charter, is primarily focused on human-caused climate change. As a result of political influence (related to the desire of governmental regulation over the private sector) it will never seriously address the possibility that long-term climate change might be part of nature. Only those scientists who are supportive of this anthropocentric climate view are allowed to play in the IPCC sandbox.

It’s an interesting read, and exposes some of the uncertainties under which our climate scientists operate. The comments following are interesting as well, as the Watts Up With That? readers are interested and have their own opinions.




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